Probabilidade implícita atual
Before Jan 1, 2027 25%-3.0%Líder entre 10 opções
Qualidade do mercado
73 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
4,6 mil €
Liquidez
204,8 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venda
22.0% / 25.0%
Spread
13.6%
Spread amploDados do mercado
Atualizado há 17 minutos
11/02/26, 1:001/01/27, 4:59
Tendências
Apenas fundos simulados, sem dinheiro realIsto não é aconselhamento financeiro
Resultado escolhido
Before Jan 1, 202725%
Grandes negociações
$6.8k95.0%
KALSHIBefore Oct 1, 2026 — Nohá 5 dias
KALSHIBefore Oct 1, 2026 — Nohá 5 diasTendência de volume
$5.2k2 de jul.25d de dados26 de jul.
Ativos Sensíveis ao Macro
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If Jerome Powell has either officially announced their intention to leave as member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System or has actually left as member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System before Jun 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The market resolves to Yes upon either an official announcement of departure or actual departure from office.
- An announcement must be made by the person themselves, their authorized representative, or the governing body of the office and reported by at least one Source Agency.
- Announcements of leaving more than one year from the statement do not resolve the market to Yes.
- Leaving office includes resignation, termination, removal, impeachment and removal, recall, or term expiration without renewal.
- Temporary absences such as medical leave, suspension with possibility of return, or delegation of duties while retaining office do NOT qualify.