KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatórioDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoPonto médio do livro selecionado
Before Jan 31, 2028 · —
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Preço registado
Before Jan 31, 2028 62.5%Líder entre 9 opções
Before Jan 31, 2028 62.5%Qualidade do mercado
62 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
6,3 €
Contratos em aberto
99,5 mil US$
Contratos em aberto: altoCompra / Venda
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Before Jan 31, 2028Spread
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 35 minutos
30/04/26, 21:00 UTC1/01/27, 15:00 UTC
O gráfico e as variações mostram probabilidades históricas guardadas, não o livro selecionado em tempo real.
Tendências
Linha selecionada: ponto médio do livro. Outras linhas: referências guardadas, possivelmente normalizadas; as variações de 24h usam o histórico guardado.
Before Oct 1, 2026Perdeu
Before Nov 1, 2026Perdeu
Before Sep 1, 2026Perdeu
Condições da plataforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Estas condições são informativas; as operações simuladas da CoinRithm seguem regras próprias.
- Encerramento antecipado:
- Sim
- Prazo de liquidação:
- 30m (informativo)
Profundidade de mercado · Before Jan 31, 2028
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Ativos Sensíveis ao Macro
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Double digit US inflation within six months of Jerome Powell's leaving as Fed chair?
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KalshiGiorgia Meloni announces departure as Prime Minister of Italy?
KalshiNarendra Modi announces departure as Prime Minister of India?
KalshiWill Jerome Powell get a third consecutive term as chair of the Federal Reserve?
Manifold MarketsRegras
If Jerome Powell has either officially announced their intention to leave as Member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System or has actually left as Member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System before Jan 31, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:the Federal ReserveThe New York Timesthe Associated PressBloomberg NewsReutersAxiosPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalABCCBSCNNFox NewsMSNBCNBCBoard of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
- An acknowledgment that Jerome Powell will leave office due solely to the scheduled expiration of his legally mandated term limit does not resolve to Yes. The market resolves to Yes upon either an official announcement of departure or actual departure from office. An announcement must be made by the person themselves, their authorized representative, or the governing body of the office and reported by at least one Source Agency. Announcements of leaving more than one year from the statement do not resolve the market to Yes. Leaving office includes resignation, termination, removal, impeachment and removal, recall, or term expiration without renewal. Temporary absences such as medical leave, suspension with possibility of return, or delegation of duties while retaining office do NOT qualify. Forced departures satisfy the criterion even without prior announcement.
Regras de cada resultado
- Before Jan 31, 2028
- If Jerome Powell has either officially announced their intention to leave as Member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System or has actually left as Member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System before Jan 31, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Oct 1, 2027
- If Jerome Powell has either officially announced their intention to leave as Member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System or has actually left as Member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System before Oct 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jun 1, 2027
- If Jerome Powell has either officially announced their intention to leave as Member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System or has actually left as Member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System before Jun 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Apr 1, 2027
- If Jerome Powell has either officially announced their intention to leave as Member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System or has actually left as Member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System before Apr 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2027
- If Jerome Powell has either officially announced their intention to leave as member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System or has actually left as member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Dec 1, 2026
- If Jerome Powell has either officially announced their intention to leave as Member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System or has actually left as Member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Oct 1, 2026
- If Jerome Powell has either officially announced their intention to leave as Member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System or has actually left as Member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Nov 1, 2026
- If Jerome Powell has either officially announced their intention to leave as Member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System or has actually left as Member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Sep 1, 2026
- If Jerome Powell has either officially announced their intention to leave as Member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System or has actually left as Member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
