KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatórioDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoPonto médio do livro selecionado
Before Jan 1, 2029 · —
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Preço registado
Before Jan 1, 2029 34%Líder entre 4 opções
Before Jan 1, 2029 34%Qualidade do mercado
37 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
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Contratos em aberto
449,4 €
Contratos em aberto: baixoCompra / Venda
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Before Jan 1, 2029Spread
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 27 minutos
10/10/26, 19:45 UTC1/07/27, 03:59 UTC
O gráfico e as variações mostram probabilidades históricas guardadas, não o livro selecionado em tempo real.
Tendências
Linha selecionada: ponto médio do livro. Outras linhas: referências guardadas, possivelmente normalizadas; as variações de 24h usam o histórico guardado.
Condições da plataforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Estas condições são informativas; as operações simuladas da CoinRithm seguem regras próprias.
- Encerramento antecipado:
- Sim
- Prazo de liquidação:
- 30m (informativo)
Profundidade de mercado · Before Jan 1, 2029
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Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
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KalshiWill Narendra Modi cease to be Prime Minister of India before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Narendra Modi be Prime Minister of India after 2029 election?
Manifold MarketsRegras
If Narendra Modi leaves (or announces he will leave) as Prime Minister of India before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:Narendra ModiThe Wall Street JournalBloomberg NewsThe Washington Postthe Associated PressFox NewsReutersPrime Minister's Office of IndiaCNNthe New York TimesPolitico
- This market resolves based on when the departure is publicly announced or officially communicated, regardless of the effective date. A statement that Narendra Modi will not lead the Bharatiya Janata Party into the next general election does not count unless it also says he will leave office before that election. A formal resignation after which he continues in office and is reappointed, such as the customary resignation after a general election, also does not count. If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role. For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role. This includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.
Regras de cada resultado
- Before Jan 1, 2029
- If Narendra Modi leaves (or announces he will leave) as Prime Minister of India before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jul 1, 2028
- If Narendra Modi leaves (or announces he will leave) as Prime Minister of India before Jul 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2028
- If Narendra Modi leaves (or announces he will leave) as Prime Minister of India before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jul 1, 2027
- If Narendra Modi leaves (or announces he will leave) as Prime Minister of India before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
