KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosCalibração aproximadaProbabilidade implícita atualBefore Sep 1, 2026 9%-0.5ptLíder entre 4 opções
Qualidade do mercado
74 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
20,9 mil €
Liquidez
298,4 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venda
0.7% / 1.0%
Spread
0.3 pt
Spread apertadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 17 minutos
7/04/26, 0:001/08/26, 3:59
Tendências
0%
0%
Apenas fundos simulados, sem dinheiro realIsto não é aconselhamento financeiro
Resultado escolhido
Before Aug 1, 20261%
Comparar plataformas· Before Sep 1, 2026
Classificado por qualidade de mercado, depois liquidez e volume de 24h| Plataforma | Qualidade | Probabilidade | vs. referência | Volume 24h | Liquidez | Atualização | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiEsta páginaMelhor no geral | Média | 9% | — | 20,9 mil € | 298,4 mil € | há 17 minutos | |
 Polymarket84% de correspondência · auto | Média | 100% | — | 558,1 € | 11,9 mil € | há 17 minutos | Abrir → |
Também disponível em Polymarket
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by July 31?
0.1 pts3d
100%
0%
73 • Qualidade médiaSpread apertadoLiquidez médiaPerto da resolução
Volume total108,2 mil €
Volume 24h558,1 €
POLYMARKETRegras
If Pete Hegseth leaves as Secretary of Defense before Jun 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Pete Hegseth must have an actual departure date and vacate the role within the time period.
- If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange.
- Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position.
- If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role.
- For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.
Os dados de comparação são apenas informativos. Preços e liquidez podem variar.
Tendência de volume
$23.8k2 de jul.27d de dados28 de jul.
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If Pete Hegseth leaves as Secretary of Defense before Jun 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Pete Hegseth must have an actual departure date and vacate the role within the time period.
- If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange.
- Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position.
- If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role.
- For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.