Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual11.59pm January 2 2029 76.4%+2.1ptLíder entre 6 opções
Previsores
10
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
+2.1 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 12 horas
Desatualizado24/09/26, 08:36 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
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Manifold MarketsRegras
He must have officially left the position, an announcement of a date to depart/resign does not resolve the market yes.
- All times in eastern time
- Out means, cessation of holding the role, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure