KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatórioDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoPonto médio do livro selecionado
Before Jul 1, 2029 · —
A carregar o livro selecionado…
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Preço registado
Before Jul 1, 2029 42.5%Líder entre 5 opções
Before Jul 1, 2029 42.5%Qualidade do mercado
33 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
0,9 €
Contratos em aberto
444,5 €
Contratos em aberto: baixoCompra / Venda
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Before Jul 1, 2029Spread
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Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 34 minutos
10/10/26, 19:45 UTC1/07/29, 03:59 UTC
O gráfico e as variações mostram probabilidades históricas guardadas, não o livro selecionado em tempo real.
Tendências
Linha selecionada: ponto médio do livro. Outras linhas: referências guardadas, possivelmente normalizadas; as variações de 24h usam o histórico guardado.
Condições da plataforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Estas condições são informativas; as operações simuladas da CoinRithm seguem regras próprias.
- Encerramento antecipado:
- Sim
- Prazo de liquidação:
- 30m (informativo)
Profundidade de mercado · Before Jul 1, 2029
A carregar o livro selecionado…
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Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will Mark Carney remain in office as Prime Minister of Canada through the end of 2026?
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KalshiRegras
If Mark Carney leaves (or announces he will leave) as Prime Minister of Canada before Jul 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:Mark CarneyThe Wall Street JournalBloomberg NewsThe Washington Postthe Associated PressFox NewsReutersOffice of the Prime Minister of CanadaCNNthe New York TimesPolitico
- This market resolves based on when the departure is publicly announced or officially communicated, regardless of the effective date. A statement that Mark Carney will not lead the Liberal Party into the next general election does not count unless it also says he will leave office before that election, for example once a new Liberal leader is chosen. If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role. For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role. This includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.
Regras de cada resultado
- Before Jul 1, 2029
- If Mark Carney leaves (or announces he will leave) as Prime Minister of Canada before Jul 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2029
- If Mark Carney leaves (or announces he will leave) as Prime Minister of Canada before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jul 1, 2028
- If Mark Carney leaves (or announces he will leave) as Prime Minister of Canada before Jul 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2028
- If Mark Carney leaves (or announces he will leave) as Prime Minister of Canada before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jul 1, 2027
- If Mark Carney leaves (or announces he will leave) as Prime Minister of Canada before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
