KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Before Jan 1, 2028 45%Líder entre 6 opções
Qualidade do mercado
52 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
14,6 €
Liquidez
22,6 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
4.0 pt
Spread moderadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 8 minutos
20/07/26, 23:30 UTC1/01/27, 04:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
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KalshiOn what dates will Andy Burnham still be Prime Minister of the United Kingdom?
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Manifold MarketsRegras
If Andy Burnham leaves as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:Andy BurnhamThe Wall Street JournalBloomberg NewsThe Washington Postthe Associated PressFox NewsReutersCNNthe New York TimesPolitico
- This market resolves based on when the departure is publicly announced or officially communicated, regardless of the effective date.
- If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange.
- Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position.
- If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role.
- For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Andy Burnham announces departure as Prime Minister??
- A Kalshi cota Before Jan 1, 2028 em 45% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Andy Burnham announces departure as Prime Minister? é resolvido?
- Andy Burnham announces departure as Prime Minister? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2027.
- Como Andy Burnham announces departure as Prime Minister? é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If Andy Burnham leaves as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.