KalshiFechadoVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatórioDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoEste mercado está fechado e aguardando uma resolução confirmada.
Aguardando resolução verificada
A CoinRithm aguarda uma liquidação confirmada pelo provedor antes de tratar este mercado como resolvido.
Probabilidade implícita atual
Before Jan 1, 2028 43%Líder entre 6 opções
Before Jan 1, 2028 43%Qualidade do mercado
35 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
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Contratos em aberto
26,7 mil US$
Contratos em aberto: altoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 17 minutos
20/07/26, 23:30 UTC1/09/26, 03:59 UTC
Tendências
Before Jan 1, 202843%
Before Oct 1, 202730%
Before Jul 1, 202711%
Before Apr 1, 20277%
Before Jan 1, 20276%
Before Sep 1, 2026Perdeu
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
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Manifold MarketsRegras
A regra exata deste resultado não está disponível.
Liquida via:Andy BurnhamThe Wall Street JournalBloomberg NewsThe Washington Postthe Associated PressFox NewsReutersPrime Minister's Office, 10 Downing StreetCNNthe New York TimesPolitico
- This market resolves based on when the departure is publicly announced or officially communicated, regardless of the effective date. If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role. For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.
Regras de cada resultado
- Before Jan 1, 2028
- If Andy Burnham leaves as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Oct 1, 2027
- If Andy Burnham leaves as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom before Oct 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jul 1, 2027
- If Andy Burnham leaves as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Apr 1, 2027
- If Andy Burnham leaves as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom before Apr 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2027
- If Andy Burnham leaves as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Sep 1, 2026
- If Andy Burnham leaves as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.