Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualJohn Healey 92%Líder entre 9 opções
Previsores
32
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
0.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 2 horas
Desatualizado15/05/26, 13:0331/12/26, 23:59
Tendências
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
0.1%
Regras
Combined conditional market on Burnham becoming PM and who he picks as Chancellor of the Exchequer if he does.
- Please only add Labour MPs as options.
- (Use the "Other" option if you think a non-Labour MP might get the job.) I don't think there are any circumstances under which this market can resolve NA.
- If you have an edge case that I haven't covered in the small print, please let me know.
- Resolves to "Current Role Holder" on this page:
- https://www.gov.uk/government/ministers/chancellor-of-the-exchequer
Mercados abertos
AI
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- ChatGPT+2.8pt15.9%
- Grok-1.7pt9.3%
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POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+0.5pt95%
- October 31,90%
- October 15,-2.0pt68%
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- Alibaba+16.5pt76.8%
- Moonshot-9.8pt13.1%
- Z.ai-6.5pt6.1%
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- Next Mythos-Class Model released on?
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- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Who will be Andy Burnham's Chancellor at the end of 2026??
- A Manifold Markets cota John Healey em 92% em 1 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Who will be Andy Burnham's Chancellor at the end of 2026? é resolvido?
- Who will be Andy Burnham's Chancellor at the end of 2026? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como Who will be Andy Burnham's Chancellor at the end of 2026? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Combined conditional market on Burnham becoming PM and who he picks as Chancellor of the Exchequer if he does.