KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Before Jan 1, 2027 34%+7.0pt
Qualidade do mercado
64 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
8,2 mil €
Liquidez
6,7 mil €
Liquidez médiaCompra / Venda
19.0% / 21.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Spread apertadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 3 minutos
5/09/26, 22:37 UTC1/10/26, 03:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
AI solves Millennium Prize Problem in September 2026?
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KalshiTop AI model in September?
KalshiRegras
If Anthropic announces a complete solution, developed by Anthropic or researchers collaborating directly with Anthropic on that solution, to one of the six Millennium Prize Problems unsolved as of September 5, 2026 the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:Anthropic
- The qualifying announcement must expressly state that Anthropic developed or co-developed the solution, or expressly identify outside researchers as having collaborated with Anthropic on developing that solution.
- The qualifying problems are the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture, Hodge Conjecture, Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem, P versus NP, Riemann Hypothesis, and Yang-Mills existence and mass gap problem.
- Work by an independent Claude user does NOT count, even if Anthropic publicizes it.
- Providing model access or research credits alone is not direct collaboration on the solution.
- Partial results, numerical evidence, or formalization of a previously known solution do NOT count as a complete solution.
Mercados abertos
AIKALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max-12.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking4%
+3 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 135,2 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 102,7 mil
POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+6.5pt62.1%
- 2027-3.5pt28.4%
- 2026+2.0pt9.5%
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+3.5pt90%
- November 30,85%
+7 mais resultados
- Volume total
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.7pt61.4%
- ChatGPT-2.1pt22.8%
- Grok-0.1pt7.9%
+5 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 9,1 mi
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-1.0pt11.2%
- Grok2.8%
+4 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 325 mil
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-2.5pt66%
- 1490+-9.0pt51%
- 1500+-3.0pt23%
+2 mais resultados
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
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- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution??
- A Kalshi cota Before Jan 1, 2027 em 34% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution? é resolvido?
- Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de outubro de 2026.
- Como Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution? é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If Anthropic announces a complete solution, developed by Anthropic or researchers collaborating directly with Anthropic on that solution, to one of the six Millennium Prize Problems unsolved as of September 5, 2026 the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.