KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Before Jan 1, 2028 60%+9.0pt
Qualidade do mercado
64 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
7,1 mil €
Liquidez
6 mil €
Liquidez médiaCompra / Venda
25.0% / 27.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Spread moderadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 6 minutos
8/09/26, 22:00 UTC1/01/27, 04:59 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will there be a verified AI-assisted solution to one of the Millennium Prize problems by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsAI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
PolymarketWill Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution?
KalshiOpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
PolymarketAnthropic announces a Millennium Prize solution by which date?
PolymarketMillennium: Prize Problem solution published before 2028 and verified?
Manifold MarketsRegras
If OpenAI announces a complete solution developed by OpenAI or researchers collaborating directly with OpenAI on that solution to one of the five qualifying Millennium Prize Problems (Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer, Hodge, P versus NP, Riemann, or Yang-Mills), excluding the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem and the Poincare conjecture the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:OpenAI
- The qualifying announcement must expressly state that OpenAI developed or co-developed the solution, or expressly identify outside researchers as having collaborated with OpenAI on developing that solution.
- The qualifying problems are the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture, Hodge Conjecture, P versus NP, Riemann Hypothesis, and Yang-Mills existence and mass gap problem.
- The Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem and the Poincare conjecture do NOT count.
- Work by an independent ChatGPT user does NOT count, even if OpenAI publicizes it.
- Providing model access or research credits alone is not direct collaboration on the solution.
Mercados abertos
AIKALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-3.0pt56.3%
- ChatGPT-3.3pt24.3%
- Grok+2.4pt7.8%
+5 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 9,2 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 102,1 mil
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,89%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,-1.0pt84%
+7 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 2,4 mi
KALSHIWhat will Spotify CEO say during Goldman Sachs Communacopia?
- Anthropic / Claude+62.0pt99%
- Video+55.0pt99%
- Royalty / Licensing+63.0pt99%
+14 mais resultados
POLYMARKETAI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- 2027-0.5pt62.5%
- 2026-10.0pt25%
- September 30, 2026-4.0pt12.5%
POLYMARKETWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- ↑$1.25T+1.3pt100%
- ↑$1.1T+3.6pt100%
- ↑$1.0T+2.4pt100%
+10 mais resultados
KALSHITencent market share this week
- Above 4.1%+8.0pt99%
- Above 3.7%+1.0pt99%
- Above 2.2%99%
+6 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 44,4 mil
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution??
- A Kalshi cota Before Jan 1, 2028 em 60% em 10 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution? é resolvido?
- Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de janeiro de 2027.
- Como Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution? é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If OpenAI announces a complete solution developed by OpenAI or researchers collaborating directly with OpenAI on that solution to one of the five qualifying Millennium Prize Problems (Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer, Hodge, P versus NP, Riemann, or Yang-Mills), excluding the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem and the Poincare conjecture the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.