Este mercado está fechado e aguardando uma resolução confirmada.
Resolvido: 18 de ago. de 2026, 14:28
Dados de resolução não verificados
Este resultado é inferido ou não é apoiado por evidência de liquidação de nível provedor.
Probabilidade implícita atual
Above 4.6% 99%Líder entre 10 opções
Qualidade do mercado
25 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
4 mil €
Liquidez
3,5 mil €
Liquidez médiaTraders
29
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 22 dias
DesatualizadoTendências
99%
97%
97%
94%
93%
82%
56%
51%
3%
1%
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will the US enter a recession in 2026?
Manifold MarketsChina overtakes USA’s economy by 2030?
KalshiChina Nominal GDP in 2026
KalshiWill China surpass the United States economically, militarily, and scientifically before 2040?
Manifold MarketsWill China ever surpass US gdp?
Manifold MarketsChina GDP growth (Y/Y) in Q3 2026?
PolymarketRegras
Each market in this event resolves "Yes" if China’s surveyed urban unemployment rate for July 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics of China and displayed by Trading Economics, is above the listed threshold.
- Markets resolve independently — every threshold below the reported figure resolves "Yes".
Mercados abertos
EconomyPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+3.0pt52%
- No change-3.0pt46.1%
- 25 bps decrease+0.1pt1%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 89,4 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 2,3 mi
KALSHICPI in August
- Above -0.3%99%
- Above -0.1%99%
- Above 0.0%99%
+12 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 323,8 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 25,3 mil
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
- Above 2.8%99%
+23 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 523 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 22 mil
KALSHIGovernment shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- No98%
- Yes+1.0pt2%
- Volume total
- € 611,8 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 12,8 mil
KALSHIUS government budget balance in 2026
- Above -8.5% of GDP97%
- Above -8.0% of GDP86%
- Above -7.5% of GDP58%
+4 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 10,5 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 10,5 mil
KALSHIRecession this year?
- No94%
- Yes+1.0pt6%
- Volume total
- € 2,9 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 7,7 mil
- Recession in 2027?
- Will the Citrini scenario happen?
- France’s government budget balance in 2026
- United Kingdom’s government budget balance in 2026
- Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026
- China’s government budget balance in 2026
- Germany’s government budget balance in 2026
- Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026
- Jobs numbers in Sep 2026?
- Mexico unemployment rate in August
- 2026: Trump's dream year?
- Unemployment in September
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de China unemployment rate — July 2026?
- A Futuur cota Above 4.6% em 99% em 17 de agosto de 2026.
- Quando China unemployment rate — July 2026 é resolvido?
- China unemployment rate — July 2026 deverá ser resolvido em 17 de agosto de 2026.
- Como China unemployment rate — July 2026 é liquidado?
- A Futuur liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Each market in this event resolves "Yes" if China’s surveyed urban unemployment rate for July 2026, as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics of China and displayed by Trading Economics, is above the listed threshold.