KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Above -5.0% of GDP 97%Líder entre 7 opções
Qualidade do mercado
61 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
2,2 mil €
Liquidez
2,1 mil €
Baixa liquidezSpread
1.0 pt
Spread apertadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 11 minutos
7/09/26, 19:00 UTC20/04/27, 12:59 UTC
Tendências
0%
0%
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
US government budget balance in 2026
KalshiFrance’s government budget balance in 2026
KalshiUnited Kingdom’s government budget balance in 2026
KalshiWill Annual UK Debt Interest Payments Exceed 20% of Government Budget Revenue by 2028?
Manifold MarketsIf Donald Trump is elected president in the 2024 election, what will the annualised GDP growth rate be over his term?
Manifold MarketsAnother US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?
PolymarketRegras
If Germany’s general government net lending/borrowing balance for 2026 is the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:International Monetary Fund
- Important information: Negative values represent budget deficits.
- A higher, less-negative value represents a smaller deficit.
- For example, −4.0% is above −5.0%.
- “General government net lending/borrowing” is calculated as government revenue minus total expenditure.
- A negative value represents net borrowing, or a deficit, while a positive value represents net lending, or a surplus.
Mercados abertos
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 606,3 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 721 mil
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+1.0pt20%
- Tucker Carlson+0.1pt3%
+39 mais resultados
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-1.0pt55.5%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+2.5pt42.6%
- Renan Santos-0.1pt1%
+16 mais resultados
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff16.5%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez15.5%
- Gavin Newsom13.6%
+45 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 183,4 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 411,2 mil
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+4.0pt73%
- New People (NL)-2.5pt23%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.5pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen-1.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+1.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 mais resultados
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Putin out as President of Russia by which date?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Germany’s government budget balance in 2026?
- A Kalshi cota Above -5.0% of GDP em 97% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Germany’s government budget balance in 2026 é resolvido?
- Germany’s government budget balance in 2026 deverá ser resolvido em 20 de abril de 2027.
- Como Germany’s government budget balance in 2026 é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If Germany’s general government net lending/borrowing balance for 2026 is the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.