KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Não 98%
Qualidade do mercado
58 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
1,8 mil €
Liquidez
227,6 mil €
Alta liquidezCompra / Venda
- / 2.0%
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 2 minutos
9/06/26, 20:30 UTC1/10/26, 14:00 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Another US government shutdown & House Winner 2026?
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KalshiRegras
If the United States federal government is at least partially shut down due to a lapse of appropriations at 10:00 AM ET on Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- A shutdown is defined as the government's orderly suspension of agency work that is not legally excepted, typically accompanied by furloughing the employees who perform that work, when funding is unavailable.
- Examples that would resolve the market to Yes:
- OMB releases a formal directive that orders heads of the affected agencies to "execute plans for an orderly shutdown," which is in effect as of 10:00 AM ET on Oct 1, 2026 OPM posts a current operating status that indicates that "due to a partial lapse in appropriations, Federal Government operations vary by agency"
- Examples that would NOT resolve the market to Yes:
- A technical lapse in appropriations occurs, but OMB directs agencies to continue standard operations Government closures or operating status changes resulting from Federal holidays, inclement weather, or other emergencies, unless such closures coincide with a shutdown due to a lapse in appropriations
Comparação de fontes de previsão
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Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026??
- A Kalshi cota No em 98% em 9 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026? é resolvido?
- Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026? deverá ser resolvido em 1 de outubro de 2026.
- Como Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026? é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If the United States federal government is at least partially shut down due to a lapse of appropriations at 10:00 AM ET on Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Onde mais Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026? está listado?
- A mesma pergunta também está listada em Manifold Markets, Polymarket.