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  1. Mercados de Previsão
  2. Economia
  3. Government shutdown by October 1?
Government shutdown by October 1?

Government shutdown by October 1?

EconomiaOne-OffPolítica3m
PolymarketPolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxa
Probabilidade implícita atual
Sim
Sim 43%
Qualidade do mercado

28 / 100

Baixa qualidade
Volume 24h

5,2 €

Liquidez

164,5 €

Baixa liquidez
Compra / Venda

24.0% / 61.0%

Spread

154.2%

Spread amplo
Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 9 minutos

10/06/26, 16:382/10/26, 3:59

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade

Resultado escolhido

Yes43%

Regras

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government enters a shutdown due to a lapse in appropriations by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • A U.S. federal government shutdown is considered to have gone into effect when there is a lapse in appropriations that results in federal government agencies suspending non-excepted operations, typically including the furlough of non-excepted federal employees.
  • A lapse in appropriations occurs when Congress fails to enact, or the President fails to sign into law, legislation providing funding authority for federal government operations by an applicable deadline, resulting in a funding lapse.
  • A lapse in appropriations where no federal agencies cease or suspend non-excepted operations will not qualify as a shutdown.
  • Partial shutdowns qualify.

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Regras

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government enters a shutdown due to a lapse in appropriations by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • A U.S. federal government shutdown is considered to have gone into effect when there is a lapse in appropriations that results in federal government agencies suspending non-excepted operations, typically including the furlough of non-excepted federal employees.
  • A lapse in appropriations occurs when Congress fails to enact, or the President fails to sign into law, legislation providing funding authority for federal government operations by an applicable deadline, resulting in a funding lapse.
  • A lapse in appropriations where no federal agencies cease or suspend non-excepted operations will not qualify as a shutdown.
  • Partial shutdowns qualify.