Probabilidade implícita atual
Sim 47%+0.1%
Qualidade do mercado
40 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
0 €
Liquidez
3 mil €
Liquidez médiaCompra / Venda
40.0% / 54.0%
Spread
35.0%
Spread amploVariação 7d
-0.5%
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 13 minutos
10/06/26, 16:292/10/26, 3:59
Tendências
Apenas fundos simulados, sem dinheiro realIsto não é aconselhamento financeiro
Resultado escolhido
Yes47%
Comparar plataformas· No
Classificado por qualidade de mercado, depois liquidez e volume de 24h| Plataforma | Qualidade | Probabilidade | vs. referência | Volume 24h | Liquidez | Atualização | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiMelhor no geral92% de correspondência · auto | Alta | 52% | +4pt | 592,2 € | 25,6 mil € | há 13 minutos | Abrir → |
 PolymarketEsta página | Baixa | 53% | +5pt | 0 € | 3 mil € | há 13 minutos |
Também disponível em Kalshi
Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
1.0%2m
52%
-1.0%48%
91 • Alta qualidadeSpread apertadoAlta liquidezAlta ambiguidade
Volume total45,9 mil €
Volume 24h592,2 €
KALSHIRegras
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government enters a shutdown due to a lapse in appropriations by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A U.S. federal government shutdown is considered to have gone into effect when there is a lapse in appropriations that results in federal government agencies suspending non-excepted operations, typically including the furlough of non-excepted federal employees.
- A lapse in appropriations occurs when Congress fails to enact, or the President fails to sign into law, legislation providing funding authority for federal government operations by an applicable deadline, resulting in a funding lapse.
- A lapse in appropriations where no federal agencies cease or suspend non-excepted operations will not qualify as a shutdown.
- Partial shutdowns qualify.
Os dados de comparação são apenas informativos. Preços e liquidez podem variar.
Tendência de volume
$69 de jul.10d de dados24 de jul.
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States federal government enters a shutdown due to a lapse in appropriations by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A U.S. federal government shutdown is considered to have gone into effect when there is a lapse in appropriations that results in federal government agencies suspending non-excepted operations, typically including the furlough of non-excepted federal employees.
- A lapse in appropriations occurs when Congress fails to enact, or the President fails to sign into law, legislation providing funding authority for federal government operations by an applicable deadline, resulting in a funding lapse.
- A lapse in appropriations where no federal agencies cease or suspend non-excepted operations will not qualify as a shutdown.
- Partial shutdowns qualify.