If Donald Trump is elected president in the 2024 election, what will the annualised GDP growth rate be over his term?
EconomiaOne-OffPolíticaPolítica dos EUAEleição2a
Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
2-3% 35.5%Líder entre 9 opções
2-3% 35.5%Previsores
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Atualizado há 5 horas
Desatualizado1/09/24, 21:43 UTC1/01/29, 07:59 UTC
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Richard Hanania has wrote a blog post claiming that he hates modern conservativism but wants Trump to win on the grounds of economic growth.
- Jeremiah Johnson is skeptical:
- This sounds like uncertainty over a future observable!
- If Donald Trump is elected president in the 2024 election, this will resolve by the annualised real GDP growth rate for the United States in the years 2025-2028, as given by the World Bank.
- Otherwise, this will resolve N/A. Corresponding question for Harris: