If Donald Trump wins the 2024 presidential election, will the US average over 3% real GDP growth from 2025-2028?

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Perguntas frequentes

Quais são as probabilidades atuais de If Donald Trump wins the 2024 presidential election, will the US average over 3% real GDP growth from 2025-2028??

A Manifold Markets cota No em 72% em 17 de setembro de 2026.

Quando If Donald Trump wins the 2024 presidential election, will the US average over 3% real GDP growth from 2025-2028? é resolvido?

If Donald Trump wins the 2024 presidential election, will the US average over 3% real GDP growth from 2025-2028? deverá ser resolvido em 7 de janeiro de 2028.

Como If Donald Trump wins the 2024 presidential election, will the US average over 3% real GDP growth from 2025-2028? é liquidado?

A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: Resolves NA if Trump does not win.

KALSHI

Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)

• Above 3.2%98%
• Above 3.1%+2.0pt98%
• Above 3.3%98%

+18 mais resultados

Volume total

€ 266,4 mil

Volume 24h

€ 76,4 mil

KALSHI

Unemployment in September

• Above 3.8%+1.0pt98%
• Above 3.7%97%
• Above 3.9%+1.0pt92%

+11 mais resultados

Volume total

€ 93,1 mil

Volume 24h

KALSHI

CPI in September

• Above -0.1%99%
• Above 0.2%+1.0pt99%
• Above 0.0%99%

+11 mais resultados

Volume total

€ 157,7 mil

Volume 24h

€ 35,3 mil

KALSHI

Recession this year?

• No94%
• Yes-1.0pt6%

Volume total

€ 3,1 mi

Volume 24h

€ 12,3 mil

POLYMARKET

US recession by end of 2026?

• No+2.0pt90.1%
• Yes-2.0pt9.9%

Volume total

€ 1,7 mi

Volume 24h

€ 12,1 mil

KALSHI

Core inflation in September 2026 (Core CPI YoY)

• Above 2.1%+1.0pt99%
• Above 2.2%+1.0pt98%
• Above 2.3%+5.0pt86%

+12 mais resultados

Volume total

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• Inflation in December 2026 (CPI YoY)
• Inflation in November 2026 (CPI YoY)
• Core inflation in November 2026 (Core CPI YoY)
• CPI in October
• US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
• State of the economy at the end of 2026
• US Nominal GDP in 2026
• China unemployment rate in September