KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosCalibração aproximadaProbabilidade implícita atualAbove 25.2% 93%Líder entre 11 opções
Qualidade do mercado
72 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
25,4 mil €
Liquidez
21,2 mil €
Liquidez médiaCompra / Venda
92.0% / 93.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Spread apertadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 17 minutos
27/07/26, 14:001/07/27, 3:59
Tendências
Apenas fundos simulados, sem dinheiro realIsto não é aconselhamento financeiro
Resultado escolhido
Above 25.1%92%
Tendência de volume
$28.9k27 de jul.2d de dados28 de jul.
Ativos Sensíveis ao Macro
Mercados Relacionados
Inflation in July 2026 (CPI YoY)
16,7 mil €Above 3.4%: 22%KALSHI
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Jobs numbers in Jul 2026?
13,3 mil €Above 30,000: 82%KALSHI
KALSHI
US real GDP growth in 2026?
12,7 mil €4.1% to 4.5%: 1%KALSHI
KALSHI
US economic state at the end of 2026?
1,9 mil €Soft Landing: 58%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
UK Annual GDP Growth 2026
495,9 €1-2%: 50%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
What will happen in 2026 related to AI?
475,3 €Sam Altman will continuously be CEO of OpenAI until the end of the year.: 95.4%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSAtivos nestes tópicos
Notícias Relacionadas
Regras
If the U.S. share of global GDP for 2026 is above 25.1%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The Underlying is the United States’ percentage share of World gross domestic product in current U.S. dollars for 2026, calculated using the World Bank’s World Development Indicators.
- The Expiration Value will be calculated as: 100 × United States GDP ÷ World GDP
- “United States GDP” and “World GDP” refer to the values attributed to 2026 for the World Bank indicator “GDP (current US$),” series code NY.GDP.MKTP.CD, for the economies United States and World, respectively.
- Both inputs must be taken from the first World Development Indicators database release in which values attributed to 2026 are available for both the United States and World.
- If the U.S. share of global GDP for 2026 is above 25.2%, then the market resolves to Yes.