KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Above 25.1% 98%Líder entre 11 opções
Qualidade do mercado
≤49 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
—
Liquidez
8,6 mil €
Liquidez médiaSpread
1.0 pt
Spread apertadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 3 minutos
27/07/26, 14:00 UTC1/07/27, 03:59 UTC
Tendências
Ativos Sensíveis ao Macro
Mercados Relacionados
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KalshiInflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
KalshiCPI in September
KalshiRegras
If the U.S. share of global GDP for 2026 is above 25.1%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:World Bank
- The Underlying is the United States’ percentage share of World gross domestic product in current U.S. dollars for 2026, calculated using the World Bank’s World Development Indicators.
- The Expiration Value will be calculated as: 100 × United States GDP ÷ World GDP
- “United States GDP” and “World GDP” refer to the values attributed to 2026 for the World Bank indicator “GDP (current US$),” series code NY.GDP.MKTP.CD, for the economies United States and World, respectively.
- Both inputs must be taken from the first World Development Indicators database release in which values attributed to 2026 are available for both the United States and World.
- If the U.S. share of global GDP for 2026 is above 25.2%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Mercados abertos
EconomyKALSHIInflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.3%+5.0pt98%
- Above 3.1%+2.0pt98%
- Above 3.2%98%
+18 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 247,7 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 79,4 mil
KALSHIRecession this year?
- No96%
- Yes-4.0pt4%
- Volume total
- € 3,1 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 18,6 mil
KALSHICPI in September
- Above -0.1%99%
- Above 0.2%+1.0pt99%
- Above 0.0%+1.0pt99%
+8 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 131,3 mil
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETUS recession by end of 2026?
- No+2.0pt89.1%
- Yes-2.0pt10.9%
- Volume total
- € 1,7 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 13,1 mil
KALSHIUnemployment in September
- Above 3.8%+5.0pt98%
- Above 3.7%97%
- Above 3.9%+4.0pt93%
+11 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 54,1 mil
- Volume 24h
KALSHIRecession in 2027?
- No72%
- Yes+4.0pt28%
- Volume total
- € 379,1 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 9,3 mil
- CPI core in October
- Core inflation in September 2026 (Core CPI YoY)
- CPI in October
- Inflation in November 2026 (CPI YoY)
- CPI core in September
- US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
- Core inflation in November 2026 (Core CPI YoY)
- How high will unemployment get in 2026?
- US Nominal GDP in 2026
- China unemployment rate in September
- September 2026 Employment Combo · U3 & NFP
- CPI in November
Criptos relacionadas
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de US share of global GDP in 2026?
- A Kalshi cota Above 25.1% em 98% em 17 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando US share of global GDP in 2026 é resolvido?
- US share of global GDP in 2026 deverá ser resolvido em 1 de julho de 2027.
- Como US share of global GDP in 2026 é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If the U.S. share of global GDP for 2026 is above 25.1%, then the market resolves to Yes.