Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual
Sim 65%
Previsores
5
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 16 horas
Desatualizado28/09/24, 22:16 UTC2/01/01, 02:59 UTC
Tendências
Ativos Sensíveis ao Macro
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KalshiUS real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
KalshiRegras
This question is an exploration of the "growth explosion" hypothesis that would come as a result of AI.
- Specifically its effect on the labor part of a labor-capital-technology model of an economy.
- introduction to the idea:
- https://www.vox.com/future-perfect/24108787/ai-economic-growth-explosive-automation
- https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XVyurFOgUjM
Mercados abertos
EconomyKALSHIInflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.3%+5.0pt98%
- Above 3.1%+2.0pt98%
- Above 3.2%98%
+18 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 247,7 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 79,4 mil
KALSHIRecession this year?
- No96%
- Yes-4.0pt4%
- Volume total
- € 3,1 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 18,6 mil
KALSHICPI in September
- Above -0.1%99%
- Above 0.2%+1.0pt99%
- Above 0.0%+1.0pt99%
+8 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 131,3 mil
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETUS recession by end of 2026?
- No+2.0pt89.1%
- Yes-2.0pt10.9%
- Volume total
- € 1,7 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 13,1 mil
KALSHIUnemployment in September
- Above 3.8%+5.0pt98%
- Above 3.7%97%
- Above 3.9%+4.0pt93%
+11 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 54,1 mil
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KALSHIRecession in 2027?
- No72%
- Yes+4.0pt28%
- Volume total
- € 379,1 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 9,3 mil
- CPI core in October
- Core inflation in September 2026 (Core CPI YoY)
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- CPI core in September
- US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
- Core inflation in November 2026 (Core CPI YoY)
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Criptos relacionadas
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will global GDP growth rate (real) exceed 21% by the end of the 21st century??
- A Manifold Markets cota Yes em 65% em 17 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will global GDP growth rate (real) exceed 21% by the end of the 21st century? é resolvido?
- Will global GDP growth rate (real) exceed 21% by the end of the 21st century? deverá ser resolvido em 2 de janeiro de 2201.
- Como Will global GDP growth rate (real) exceed 21% by the end of the 21st century? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This question is an exploration of the "growth explosion" hypothesis that would come as a result of AI.