Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualSim 65%
Previsores
5
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 49 minutos
Atrasado28/09/24, 22:16 UTC2/01/01, 02:59 UTC
Tendências
Ativos Sensíveis ao Macro
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will global GDP growth exceed 10% for the 12 months following the creation of AGI?
Manifold MarketsWill Canada's real GDP growth rate fall below 0.4% for any quarter by EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsIf Donald Trump is elected president in the 2024 election, what will the annualised GDP growth rate be over his term?
Manifold Markets[Metaculus] Will the US set a new annual GDP growth rate record high before 2030?
Manifold MarketsSouth Africa GDP growth rate QoQ for Q3 2026
KalshiUS share of global GDP in 2026
KalshiRegras
This question is an exploration of the "growth explosion" hypothesis that would come as a result of AI.
- Specifically its effect on the labor part of a labor-capital-technology model of an economy.
- introduction to the idea:
- https://www.vox.com/future-perfect/24108787/ai-economic-growth-explosive-automation
- https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XVyurFOgUjM