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  1. Mercati Predittivi
  2. Economia
  3. Negative GDP growth in 2026?
Negative GDP growth in 2026?

Negative GDP growth in 2026?

EconomiaOne-Off7m
PolymarketPolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissione
Probabilità implicita attuale
Sì
Sì 8%
Qualita del mercato

24 / 100

Bassa qualità
Volume 24h

0 €

Liquidità

683,2 €

Bassa liquidità
Bid / Ask

6.2% / 10.5%

Spread

69.3%

Spread ampio
Variazione 7g

+0.3%

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 2 minuti fa

13 nov 25, 21:2729 gen 27, 0:00

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Esito scelto

Yes8%

Regole

This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the seasonally adjusted and annualized GDP growth rate for the full year 2026, as derived from the 'Advance Estimate' for Q4 2026, with a release by the U.S.

Polymarket
  • Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) expected in January 2027, reports a growth rate below 0.
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'.
  • The GDP release will be available at: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product.
  • Only the first available GDP report labeled as the 'Advance Estimate' for Q4 2026, which provides the initial full-year 2026 GDP growth rate, will be used for resolution.
  • Any subsequent revisions or updates to the data will not be considered.

Asset Sensibili al Macro

BitcoinBTC$62,663.61+1.88%EthereumETH$1,652.22+1.30%SolanaSOL$65.11+0.89%

Mercati Correlati

US recession by end of 2026?

US recession by end of 2026?

2,7K €
Sì: 20%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

792,6 €
5.0%: 17%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Manifold Markets

Will Mexico's real GDP grow by at least 1.6% in 2026?

259,9 €
Sì: 27.8%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
June Unemployment Rate

June Unemployment Rate

134,5 €
4.4%: 35%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
US real GDP growth in 2030?

US real GDP growth in 2030?

134,1 €
2.6% to 3.0%: 11%KalshiKALSHI
Manifold Markets

Will Nigeria have a larger GDP than South Africa in 2026?

80,4 €
Sì: 47.8%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS

Attivi in questi argomenti

DogecoinDOGE$0.085+1.11%XRPXRP$1.12-0.32%BNBBNB$595.32+1.32%CardanoADA$0.1663+2.17%HyperliquidHYPE$54.83-2.25%LitecoinLTC$42.80+0.31%

Regole

This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the seasonally adjusted and annualized GDP growth rate for the full year 2026, as derived from the 'Advance Estimate' for Q4 2026, with a release by the U.S.

Polymarket
  • Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) expected in January 2027, reports a growth rate below 0.
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'.
  • The GDP release will be available at: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product.
  • Only the first available GDP report labeled as the 'Advance Estimate' for Q4 2026, which provides the initial full-year 2026 GDP growth rate, will be used for resolution.
  • Any subsequent revisions or updates to the data will not be considered.