Previsione della comunità attuale
Sì 96.3%
Previsori
11
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 14 ore fa
Obsoleto4 mag 23, 02:06 UTC1 gen 27, 02:59 UTC
Trend
Asset Sensibili al Macro
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will the Fed cut rates by at least 25 bps at the Oct. 28, 2026 FOMC meeting?
Manifold MarketsWill the Fed cut rates by 25 bps at its next meeting?
Manifold MarketsWill the Fed cut rates by at least 25 bps at the Sept. 16, 2026 FOMC meeting?
Manifold MarketsNegative GDP growth in 2026?
PolymarketNegative growth in Brazil's GDP in any quarter of 2026?
FutuurWill the United States experience negative GDP growth during Q1, Q2, or Q3 2026?
FutuurRegole
Inspired on this tweet: https://twitter.com/AnilVohra1962/status/1647369765391069184?t=gigWHNeMZd1iQbvEgW7lTA&s=19
- [image]This market will resolve to YES if this measure of Inflation- Unemployment Rate, as measured in the Fred is below -4% the next time the Federal Reserve cuts the baseline rates.
- I may bet on this market
- May 3, 11:08pm: Will the FOMC cut rates before Inflation minus Unemployment Rate is below 4%? → Will the FOMC cut rates before Inflation minus Unemployment Rate is below negative 4%?
Mercati aperti
Fed
KALSHIFed decision in Sep 2026?
- Hike 25bps+1.0pt52.9%
- Fed maintains rate-3.0pt44.1%
- Hike >25bps1%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 34,5 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 2,6 Mln €
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+3.0pt54.5%
- No change-3.0pt44.5%
- 50+ bps increase1%
+2 altri esiti
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in September 2026
- Hike 25bps+2.0pt51%
- Fed maintains rate-2.0pt43.6%
- Cut 25bps+1.0pt2%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
KALSHINext Fed rate hike?
- Before 2028+1.0pt85%
- Before July 2027+5.0pt84%
- Before 202773%
- Volume totale
- 3,4 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 45,5K €
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)+0.2pt93%
- 1 (25 bps)-0.1pt5%
- 2 (50 bps)-0.1pt2%
+10 altri esiti
KALSHIFed rate cut before 2027?
- No87%
- Yes+3.8pt13%
- Volume totale
- 997K €
- Volume 24h
- 41,2K €
- Fed Decision in October?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Fed funds rate after Sep 2026 meeting?
- What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?
- Fed Rate Decision (Oct 2026)
- Fed rate hike by which date?
- Will the Fed leave the rate unchanged in September 2026?
- Number of rate cuts in 2026?
- Fed decision in Oct 2026?
- Fed rate cut by which date?
- Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?
Cripto correlate
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will the FOMC cut rates before Inflation minus Unemployment Rate is below negative 4%??
- Manifold Markets quota Yes al 96% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will the FOMC cut rates before Inflation minus Unemployment Rate is below negative 4%??
- Will the FOMC cut rates before Inflation minus Unemployment Rate is below negative 4%? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Will the FOMC cut rates before Inflation minus Unemployment Rate is below negative 4%??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Inspired on this tweet: https://twitter.com/AnilVohra1962/status/1647369765391069184?t=gigWHNeMZd1iQbvEgW7lTA&s=19