Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiDati della fonte degradati
Dati al 26 ott 2026, 09:52 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Previsione della comunità attualeNo 99%
Previsori
9
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 45 minuti fa
In ritardo18 giu 26, 12:01 UTC28 ott 26, 18:25 UTC
Trend
Asset Sensibili al Macro
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will the FOMC cut rates before Inflation minus Unemployment Rate is below negative 4%?
Manifold MarketsWill the US Fed Funds Target Rate be set above 3.875% at the FOMC meeting ending October 28, 2026?
ForecastExWhat will be the Federal Target Rate range after the final FOMC meeting of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the US Fed Funds Target Rate be set above 3.125% at the FOMC meeting ending October 28, 2026?
ForecastExWill the US Fed Funds Target Rate be set above 3.375% at the FOMC meeting ending December 9, 2026?
ForecastExWill the US Fed Funds Target Rate be set above 3.625% at the FOMC meeting ending December 9, 2026?
ForecastExRegole
This market resolves YES if the Federal Open Market Committee lowers the target range for the federal funds rate by at least 25 basis points in the statement issued for the October 28, 2026 FOMC meeting.
- Use the change announced in the first official FOMC statement or decision release tied to the October 27-28, 2026 meeting.
- YES if the target range is at least 25 basis points below the range in effect immediately before that meeting.
- NO if the target range is unchanged or is lowered by less than 25 basis points.
- Do not use the chair's press-conference wording, projections, minutes, market pricing, or later revisions.
- If the October 2026 FOMC meeting is postponed or canceled, resolve N/A unless a substitute official decision release for that meeting is issued.
