PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
25-29 32.4%In testa tra 6 esitiCorretto per il margine: le quote grezze sommavano oltre il 100% e sono state normalizzate.
25-29 32.4%Qualità del mercato
63 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
1,6K €
Liquidità
10,9K €
Liquidità mediaSpread
3.1 pt
Spread moderatoCommenti
0
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 27 minuti fa
1 ott 26, 00:06 UTC12 ott 26, 03:59 UTC
Trend
Condizioni della piattaforma
Fonte: Polymarket
Queste condizioni sono informative; il trading simulato di CoinRithm segue regole proprie.
- Ordine minimo (quote):
- 5
- Incremento di prezzo:
- 1 punti percentuali
- Commissioni:
- No
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by October 31?
Polymarket0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by which date?
PolymarketHow many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of October 5?
Polymarket0 ships transit Bab el-Mandeb on any date by which date?
PolymarketWill IMF PortWatch show a Strait of Hormuz 7-day transit average of 15 or more on any date through Oct 15, 2026?
Manifold MarketsOn October 25th 2026, what will the 7-day average ships passing through the Strait of Hormuz be?
Manifold MarketsRegole
This market will resolve according to the total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Strait of Hormuz for all days from October 5, 2026, through October 11, 2026, inclusive.
- Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships.
- Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
- This market will resolve as soon as all relevant data has been published.
- If the relevant data is not published within 14 calendar days of the specified date, this market will resolve based on the most recent data published up to that point.
- In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections.