Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by October 31?
2.0 pt (24h)Politica USAOne-OffMedio Oriente26g
PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
20+ 33%+2.0ptIn testa tra 5 esiti
20+ 33%+2.0ptQualità del mercato
37 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
133,8 €
Liquidità
10,4K €
Liquidità mediaSpread
62.0 pt
Spread ampioCommenti
0
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 27 minuti fa
30 set 26, 23:58 UTC1 nov 26, 03:59 UTC
Trend
Condizioni della piattaforma
Fonte: Polymarket
Queste condizioni sono informative; il trading simulato di CoinRithm segue regole proprie.
- Ordine minimo (quote):
- 5
- Incremento di prezzo:
- 1 punti percentuali
- Commissioni:
- No
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of October 5?
Polymarket0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by which date?
PolymarketHow many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of October 5?
Polymarket0 ships transit Bab el-Mandeb on any date by which date?
PolymarketWill IMF PortWatch show a Strait of Hormuz 7-day transit average of 15 or more on any date through Oct 15, 2026?
Manifold MarketsOn October 25th 2026, what will the 7-day average ships passing through the Strait of Hormuz be?
Manifold MarketsRegole
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any finalized daily number of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz reported by IMF Portwatch is equal to or above the listed value for any date between market creation and October 31, 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships.
- Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
- Data for a specific date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next date's data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
- This market will resolve as soon as a qualifying figure has been finalized or once all relevant data has been finalized.
