PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
December 31 21%-1.0pt
Qualità del mercato
56 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
152,2 €
Liquidità
31,1K €
Alta liquiditàBid / Ask
2.3% / 5.9%
Spread
3.6 pt
Spread moderatoCommenti
0
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 16 minuti fa
11 set 26, 20:17 UTC1 gen 27, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
How many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of September 14?
PolymarketWill the 7-day moving average of ships passing the Bab el-Mandeb Strait ever fall below 15 in 2026?
Manifold MarketsBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
PolymarketBab el-Mandeb Strait closed by which date?
FutuurBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
LimitlessHow many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of September 14?
PolymarketRegole
This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF PortWatch publishes a daily number of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait equal to 0 for any date between market creation and the specified date, 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
- Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships.
- Ships not reported by IMF PortWatch will not be considered.
- This market will resolve as soon as IMF PortWatch publishes a daily number of transit calls equal to 0, or once complete data has been published for the specified period without such a publication.
- If complete data for the specified period has not been published within 28 calendar days of the end of the specified period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.
Mercati aperti
Middle EastPOLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 4+6.4pt98%
- September 11+6.2pt98%
- September 18+4.5pt98%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 2,8 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 616,1K €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+3.7pt49.6%
- October 31+11.0pt32%
- September 30+4.0pt13.6%
+17 altri esiti
POLYMARKETPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Gadi Eizenkot-0.7pt54.1%
- Benjamin Netanyahu30.6%
- Naftali Bennett-1.0pt9.2%
+16 altri esiti
POLYMARKETIsrael x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by which date?
- September 30+9.5pt95%
- September 25+10.5pt93%
- September 18+21.5pt92%
+7 altri esiti
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+21 altri esiti
POLYMARKETIsrael closes its airspace by which date?
- September 30-0.6pt100%
- May 8-1.4pt0%
- May 31-1.2pt0%
+16 altri esiti
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by which date?
- Next round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
- Iran charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Houthis enter Aden by which date?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per 0 ships transit Bab el-Mandeb on any date by which date??
- Polymarket quota December 31 al 21% al 15 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve 0 ships transit Bab el-Mandeb on any date by which date??
- 0 ships transit Bab el-Mandeb on any date by which date? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato 0 ships transit Bab el-Mandeb on any date by which date??
- Polymarket liquida questo mercato come segue: This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF PortWatch publishes a daily number of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait equal to 0 for any date between market creation and the specified date, 2026.