PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
170-189 40.2%+12.0ptIn testa tra 5 esitiCorretto per il margine: le quote grezze sommavano oltre il 100% e sono state normalizzate.
170-189 40.2%+12.0ptQualità del mercato
63 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
1,1K €
Liquidità
40,2K €
Alta liquiditàSpread
1.0 pt
Spread strettoCommenti
0
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 3 minuti fa
1 ott 26, 00:06 UTC12 ott 26, 03:59 UTC
Trend
Condizioni della piattaforma
Fonte: Polymarket
Queste condizioni sono informative; il trading simulato di CoinRithm segue regole proprie.
- Ordine minimo (quote):
- 5
- Incremento di prezzo:
- 1 punti percentuali
- Commissioni:
- No
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
0 ships transit Bab el-Mandeb on any date by which date?
PolymarketAvg. # of ships transiting Bab el-Mandeb Strait end of October?
PolymarketWill the 7-day moving average of ships passing the Bab el-Mandeb Strait ever fall below 15 in 2026?
Manifold MarketsBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
PolymarketTraffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/5 - 10/11)
KalshiTraffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (9/28 - 10/4)
KalshiRegole
This market will resolve according to the total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Bab el-Mandeb Strait for all days from October 5, 2026, through October 11, 2026, inclusive.
- Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships.
- Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
- This market will resolve as soon as all relevant data has been published.
- If the relevant data is not published within 14 calendar days of the specified date, this market will resolve based on the most recent data published up to that point.
- In case of obvious data integrity issues (i.e., erroneous data), the market may remain open until the end of the third calendar day (ET) after the date on which such data is first released to allow for corrections.