PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
September 30 72.5%+2.5ptCorretto per il margine: le quote grezze sommavano oltre il 100% e sono state normalizzate.
Qualità del mercato
69 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
22,6K €
Liquidità
30K €
Alta liquiditàBid / Ask
32.0% / 33.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Spread strettoCommenti
0
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 8 minuti fa
11 set 26, 23:26 UTC1 ott 26, 03:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Massachusetts East-West rail be under construction before 2027?
Manifold MarketsBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
PolymarketIran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
PolymarketWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
PolymarketWhen will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
KalshiTraffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/7 - 9/13)
KalshiRegole
On September 11, 2026, Saudi Arabia's Ministry of Energy announced that the East-West oil pipeline has been shut down.
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if the government of Saudi Arabia announces that the East-West oil pipeline is operational or no longer shut down between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- A qualifying announcement must express that the pipeline is presently operating; operation at partial or reduced capacity qualifies.
- Announcements that attribute such a claim to third parties, state that the pipeline will or may operate in the future, describe work underway to restore operation, or frame resumption as expected, planned, or conditional, will not qualify.
- Once a qualifying announcement is made, this market will resolve to “Yes,” regardless of any subsequent contradictory statements, or alternative information from other sources.
Mercati aperti
Middle EastPOLYMARKETBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- December 31-3.5pt22%
- October 31-3.0pt17%
- September 30-3.5pt5%
+9 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 11,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 539,3K €
POLYMARKETIran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- October 31+3.5pt57%
- September 30+2.0pt42%
- September 21+5.0pt36%
+6 altri esiti
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No-1.0pt83.2%
- Yes+1.0pt16.8%
- Volume totale
- 56,8 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 197,5K €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+1.3pt66%
- October 31-0.5pt37%
- September 30+1.0pt22%
+17 altri esiti
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30+4.5pt93%
- September 18+5.0pt91%
- September 4+7.0pt88%
+2 altri esiti
POLYMARKETIsrael closes its airspace by which date?
- September 30-0.7pt100%
- May 8-1.4pt0%
- May 31-1.2pt0%
+16 altri esiti
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
- When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
- Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/7 - 9/13)
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
- Next round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by which date?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by which date??
- Polymarket quota September 30 al 73% al 13 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by which date??
- Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by which date? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 ottobre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by which date??
- Polymarket liquida questo mercato come segue: On September 11, 2026, Saudi Arabia's Ministry of Energy announced that the East-West oil pipeline has been shut down.