KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Above 10 99%In testa tra 11 esiti
Qualità del mercato
56 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
1,3K €
Liquidità
2,3K €
Liquidità mediaSpread
3.0 pt
Spread moderatoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 6 minuti fa
4 set 26, 16:30 UTC15 set 26, 13:00 UTC
Trend
0%
0%
0%
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/7 - 9/13)
KalshiOn September 27th 2026, what will the 7-day average ships passing through the Strait of Hormuz be?
Manifold MarketsStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
PolymarketStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?
PolymarketStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?
PolymarketStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of September? [Polymarket]
Manifold MarketsRegole
If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is the named outcome from Sep 7, 2026 to Sep 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:IMF PortWatch
- The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Sep 7, 2026 to Sep 13, 2026.
- The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.
Mercati aperti
Middle EastPOLYMARKETIsrael closes its airspace by which date?
- September 30+18.3pt100%
- May 8-1.4pt0%
- May 31-1.2pt0%
+16 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 25,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 719,6K €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-0.6pt47.5%
- October 31-1.0pt28.7%
- September 30-2.0pt13.1%
+17 altri esiti
POLYMARKETPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Gadi Eizenkot+3.4pt55.7%
- Benjamin Netanyahu-3.0pt27.8%
- Naftali Bennett8.3%
+16 altri esiti
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30+3.0pt80%
- September 18+2.0pt75%
- September 11+12.0pt71%
+2 altri esiti
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
- No+0.3pt98%
- Yes-0.3pt2%
- Volume totale
- 6,9 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 97,8K €
KALSHIWhen will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
- Before Jan 1, 2029-2.0pt69%
- Before Jul 1, 2028-1.0pt67%
- Before Jan 1, 2028-1.0pt64%
+11 altri esiti
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- Netanyahu out by which date?
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by which date?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/7 - 9/13)?
- Kalshi quota Above 10 al 99% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/7 - 9/13)?
- Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/7 - 9/13) dovrebbe risolversi il 15 settembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/7 - 9/13)?
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is the named outcome from Sep 7, 2026 to Sep 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.