Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of September? [Polymarket]
One-OffGeopoliticaMiddle East22gManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 99%
Previsori
15
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 12 minuti fa
26 ago 26, 15:54 UTC30 set 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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Manifold MarketsRegole
This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and Sep 30, 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Daily transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships.
- Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
- This market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been published for the final date in the specified period and no such value has been published.
- If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of September? [Polymarket]?
- Manifold Markets quota No al 99% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of September? [Polymarket]?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of September? [Polymarket] dovrebbe risolversi il 30 settembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of September? [Polymarket]?
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and Sep 30, 2026.