On September 27th 2026, what will the 7-day average ships passing through the Strait of Hormuz be?
Middle EastOne-Off19gManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualex ≥ 5 71.1%In testa tra 7 esiti
Previsori
5
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
+1.9 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 10 minuti fa
30 ago 26, 13:02 UTC27 set 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/7 - 9/13)
KalshiPeak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (9/7 - 9/13)
KalshiHow many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of September 7?
PolymarketAvg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of September?
PolymarketWill __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30?
PolymarketWill the 7-day moving average of ships passing the Bab el-Mandeb Strait ever fall below 15 in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegole
On August 30th 2026, what will the 7-day average ships passing through the Strait of Hormuz be?
- Resolution Criteria
- Let x be the 7-day average ships passing on through the Strait of Hormuz on September 27th 2026.
- Using IMF PortWatch as the official source, each market above will resolve to YES if the inequality is true and will resolve to NO otherwise.
- If the data are not available by end of day October 28th, I will resolve each market to NA.
Mercati aperti
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- May 8-1.4pt0%
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- Volume 24h
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POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
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- September 30-2.0pt13.1%
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POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30+3.0pt80%
- September 18+2.0pt75%
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POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
- No+0.3pt98%
- Yes-0.3pt2%
- Volume totale
- 6,9 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 97,8K €
KALSHIWhen will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
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- Before Jul 1, 2028-1.0pt67%
- Before Jan 1, 2028-1.0pt64%
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- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per On September 27th 2026, what will the 7-day average ships passing through the Strait of Hormuz be??
- Manifold Markets quota x ≥ 5 al 71% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve On September 27th 2026, what will the 7-day average ships passing through the Strait of Hormuz be??
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