PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
No 98%
Qualita del mercato
86 / 100
Alta qualitàVolume 24h
16,6K €
Liquidità
186,5K €
Alta liquiditàBid / Ask
1.5% / 1.6%
Spread
0.1 pt
Spread strettoComments
0
Variazione 7g
-5.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 15 minuti fa
11 ago 26, 9:2015 set 26, 0:00
Trend
Regole
This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and September 15, 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Daily transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships.
- Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
- This market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been published for the final date in the specified period and no such value has been published.
- If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.
