PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attualeSì 16%+0.0%
Qualita del mercato
89 / 100
Alta qualitàVolume 24h
538,4K €
Liquidità
316,3K €
Alta liquiditàBid / Ask
15.0% / 16.0%
Spread
6.7%
Spread moderatoVariazione 7g
+6.0%
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 17 minuti fa
2 lug 26, 21:4931 ago 26, 0:00
Trend
Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria
Esito scelto
Yes16%
Confronta le piattaforme· No
Ordinato per qualità del mercato, poi liquidità e volume 24h| Piattaforma | Qualità | Probabilità | vs riferimento | Volume 24h | Liquidità | Aggiornamento | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketQuesta paginaMigliore in assoluto | Alta | 85% | — | 538,4K € | 316,3K € | 17 minuti fa | |
 Manifold Markets85% di corrispondenza · auto | — | 94% | — | — | — | 17 minuti fa | Apri → |
Disponibile anche su Manifold Markets
Strait of Hormuz returns to normal by end of August 31?
1m
93.8%
6.2%
Previsione della comunità21 previsoriTipo: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETSRegole
This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and August 31, 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Daily transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships.
- Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
- This market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been published for the final date in the specified period and no such value has been published.
- If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.
I dati di confronto sono solo informativi. I prezzi e la liquidità possono variare.
Grandi operazioni
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POLYMARKETNoStarMasterl’altro ieri$1.8k88.0%POLYMARKETNosimtrades3 gg fa
POLYMARKETNosimtrades3 gg fa$1.5k85.0%POLYMARKETNoWalkStreetIn3 gg fa
POLYMARKETNoWalkStreetIn3 gg fa$1.7k86.0%POLYMARKETNoback-in-whack5 gg fa
POLYMARKETNoback-in-whack5 gg fa$12.0k89.0%POLYMARKETNoskibabiba11 gg fa
POLYMARKETNoskibabiba11 gg faTrend del volume
$612.6k3 lug24g di dati26 lug
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls (“Arrivals of Ships”) for the Strait of Hormuz equal to or above 60 for any date between market creation and August 31, 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Daily transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships.
- Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
- This market will resolve as soon as IMF Portwatch publishes a 7-day moving average of transit calls equal to or above the specified level, or once data has been published for the final date in the specified period and no such value has been published.
- If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.