Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?
12.0 pt (24h)PoliticaOne-OffPolitica USAMedio Oriente30g
PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
No 81.2%+12.0pt
No 81.2%+12.0ptQualità del mercato
82 / 100
Alta qualitàVolume 24h
123,1K €
Liquidità
22,2K €
Alta liquiditàBid / Ask
18.0% / 19.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Spread strettoCommenti
14
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 42 minuti fa
30 set 26, 21:34 UTC1 nov 26, 03:59 UTC
Trend
Condizioni della piattaforma
Fonte: Polymarket
Queste condizioni sono informative; il trading simulato di CoinRithm segue regole proprie.
- Ordine minimo (quote):
- 5
- Incremento di prezzo:
- 1 punti percentuali
- Commissioni:
- No
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
PolymarketPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
PolymarketNobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
PolymarketNext US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by which date?
PolymarketWill Hamas actually disarm in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump endorse Netanyahu?
KalshiRegole
On September 30, 2026, FlyDubai flight FZ1073 from Dubai to Tel Aviv diverted to Saudi Arabia following an incident in the cockpit in which the co-pilot allegedly stabbed the captain.
- (see: https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/diverted-flydubai-flight-israel-was-not-hijacking-incident-israeli-prime-2026-09-30/).
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Israeli national government, or an authorized representative of the Israeli national government, publicly announces that Iran or its affiliated groups deliberately caused this incident, by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A public announcement refers to an on-the-record statement issued by the Israeli national government or by its authorized representatives acting in an official capacity on behalf of the Israeli national government.
- A statement or press release issued by the Israeli national government or any of its agencies will qualify.