PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneProbabilità implicita attualeSì 3%+0.0%
Qualita del mercato
73 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
61,5K €
Liquidità
194,1K €
Alta liquiditàBid / Ask
3.0% / 3.3%
Spread
10.0%
Spread ampioVariazione 7g
+0.1%
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 5 minuti fa
29 giu 26, 23:5330 set 26, 0:00
Trend
Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria
Esito scelto
Yes3%
Confronta le piattaforme· No
Ordinato per volume 24h| Piattaforma | Probabilità | vs riferimento | Volume 24h | Liquidità | Aggiornamento | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketQuesta paginaPiù attiva | 97% | +94pt | 61,5K € | 194,1K € | 5 minuti fa | |
 Myriad | 94% | +91pt | 9,1 € | 1,3K € | 17 minuti fa | Apri → |
Disponibile anche su Myriad
Will the Iranian Regime fall before October?
0.0%2m
6%
94%
32 • Bassa qualitàSpread sconosciutoBassa liquiditàMercato poco profondo
Volume totale35,3K €
Volume 24h9,1 €
MYRIADRegole
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Islamic Republic of Iran’s current ruling regime is overthrown, collapsed, or otherwise ceases to govern by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- This requires a broad consensus of reporting indicating that core structures of the Islamic Republic (e.g. the office of the Supreme Leader, the Guardian Council, IRGC control under clerical authority) have been dissolved, incapacitated, or replaced by a fundamentally different governing system or otherwise lost de facto power over a majority of the population of Iran.
- This could occur via revolution, civil war, military coup, or voluntary abdication, but only qualifies if the Islamic Republic no longer exercises sovereign power.
- Routine political events such as elections, reforms, or leadership succession do not qualify.
- Internal coups or power shifts that preserve the Islamic Republic’s core structures also do not qualify.
I dati di confronto sono solo informativi. I prezzi e la liquidità possono variare.
Grandi operazioni
$4.9k97.4%NoScrimpy5 gg fa
Trend del volume
$70.2k2 lug7g di dati8 lug
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KALSHI
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Islamic Republic of Iran’s current ruling regime is overthrown, collapsed, or otherwise ceases to govern by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- This requires a broad consensus of reporting indicating that core structures of the Islamic Republic (e.g. the office of the Supreme Leader, the Guardian Council, IRGC control under clerical authority) have been dissolved, incapacitated, or replaced by a fundamentally different governing system or otherwise lost de facto power over a majority of the population of Iran.
- This could occur via revolution, civil war, military coup, or voluntary abdication, but only qualifies if the Islamic Republic no longer exercises sovereign power.
- Routine political events such as elections, reforms, or leadership succession do not qualify.
- Internal coups or power shifts that preserve the Islamic Republic’s core structures also do not qualify.