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Dati al 1 set 2026, 21:00 UTC · criterio pm-quality-3
Probabilità implicita attuale
September 30 10%+2.0ptIn testa tra 19 esiti
Qualità del mercato
66 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
112,5K €
Liquidità
28,8K €
Alta liquiditàSpread
1.0 pt
Spread strettoCommenti
993
Variazione 7g
+3.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 1 ora fa
In ritardo4 mag 26, 23:521 ott 26, 3:59
Trend
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Regole
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel initiates a major closure of its airspace by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- A “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or complete suspension of commercial aviation across the entirety of Israeli civilian airspace or a region encompassing a majority of Israeli civilian airspace, including commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from that airspace.
- A qualifying closure must apply generally to all flights across Israel or a qualifying subset of Israeli airspace.
- Limited cancellations, delays, temporary ground stops or isolated regional closures will not qualify.
- Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain pre-approved flights may be permitted).
Confronto tra fonti di previsione
2 piattaforme quotano attualmente questo mercato. La probabilità di riferimento ponderata per la liquidità di CoinRithm per September 30 è del 10%. Le quotazioni differiscono di circa 40 punti percentuali tra le piattaforme più distanti.
Riferimento CoinRithm September 30 10% · 2 piattaforme · 40 pt di scarto tra venue
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- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Israel closes its airspace by which date??
- Polymarket quota September 30 al 10% al 1 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Israel closes its airspace by which date??
- Israel closes its airspace by which date? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 ottobre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Israel closes its airspace by which date??
- Polymarket liquida questo mercato come segue: This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel initiates a major closure of its airspace by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Dove altro è quotato Israel closes its airspace by which date??
- La stessa domanda è quotata anche su Limitless.