LimitlessVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiAvviso sulla qualità dei datiPrezzo non significativo
Dati al 1 set 2026, 03:00 UTC · criterio pm-quality-3
Probabilità implicita attuale
August 31 50%
Qualità del mercato
30 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
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Liquidità
—
Liquidità sconosciutaDati di mercato
Aggiornato 12 minuti fa
25 ago 26, 13:201 ott 26, 3:59
Trend
Regole
the named outcome · the named outcome.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel initiates a major closure of its airspace by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A “major closure” is defined as a broad closure, cancellation, or complete suspension of commercial aviation across the entirety of Israeli civilian airspace or a region encompassing a majority of Israeli civilian airspace, including commercial flights transiting, arriving in, and departing from that airspace.
- A qualifying closure must apply generally to all flights across Israel or a qualifying subset of Israeli airspace.
- Limited cancellations, delays, temporary ground stops or isolated regional closures will not qualify.
- Limited exceptions to a broad closure, however, will not disqualify such a closure from counting (e.g. exceptions for certain pre-approved flights may be permitted).
Warnings, No-Fly-Zones, flight suspensions, or other flight restrictions imposed by airlines or countries other than Israel will not be sufficient for a “Yes” resolution.
Airspace closures which occur solely due to weather conditions will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israeli aviation authorities; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Confronto tra fonti di previsione
2 piattaforme quotano attualmente questo mercato. La probabilità di riferimento ponderata per la liquidità di CoinRithm per September 30 è del 10%. Le quotazioni differiscono di circa 40 punti percentuali tra le piattaforme più distanti.
Riferimento CoinRithm September 30 10% · 2 piattaforme · 40 pt di scarto tra venue
- Disponibile anche su Polymarket — Israel closes its airspace by...? · September 30 10%
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Israel closes its airspace by which date??
- Limitless quota August 31 al 50% al 1 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Israel closes its airspace by which date??
- Israel closes its airspace by which date? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 ottobre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Israel closes its airspace by which date??
- Limitless liquida questo mercato come segue: the named outcome · the named outcome. <p>This market will resolve to “Yes” if Israel initiates a major closure of its airspace by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Dove altro è quotato Israel closes its airspace by which date??
- La stessa domanda è quotata anche su Polymarket.