PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiDati obsoleti
Dati al 1 set 2026, 21:00 UTC · criterio pm-quality-3
Probabilità implicita attuale
September 30 100%+11.9pt
Qualità del mercato
66 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
41,3K €
Liquidità
79,9K €
Alta liquiditàBid / Ask
98.3% / 100.0%
Spread
1.7 pt
Spread strettoCommenti
0
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 1 ora fa
In ritardo31 ago 26, 18:3730 set 26, 23:59
Trend
100%
Regole
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran targets an Arab country through a qualifying military action between market creation and the listed date, Arabia Standard Time (AST).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
- Qualifying Arab countries are as follows: Algeria, Bahrain, Comoros, Djibouti, Egypt, Iraq, Jordan, Kuwait, Lebanon, Libya, Mauritania, Morocco, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Somalia, Sudan, Syria, Tunisia, the United Arab Emirates, and Yemen.
- A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Iran, directed at a qualifying Arab country.
- An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones.
- A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.