PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
6.1 or more 94.3%+50.0ptIn testa tra 6 esitiCorretto per il margine: le quote grezze sommavano oltre il 100% e sono state normalizzate.
6.1 or more 94.3%+50.0ptQualità del mercato
46 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
3,7K €
Liquidità
6,7K €
Liquidità mediaCommenti
0
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 4 minuti fa
25 set 26, 04:07 UTC26 set 26, 18:00 UTC
Trend
Condizioni della piattaforma
Fonte: Polymarket
Queste condizioni sono informative; il trading simulato di CoinRithm segue regole proprie.
- Ordine minimo (quote):
- 5
- Incremento di prezzo:
- 0,1 punti percentuali
- Commissioni:
- Sì
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
What will the biggest earthquake be on September 26, 2026?
Polymarket10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
Polymarket9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
PolymarketWill there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?
KalshiWill there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in California before 2035?
Kalshi8.0 magnitude earthquake in Japan before 2030?
KalshiRegole
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the magnitude of the largest earthquake recorded globally on September 25, 2026, as reported by the USGS Earthquake Catalog.
- Brackets: the named outcome / the named outcome / the named outcome / the named outcome / the named outcome / the named outcome.
- Exactly one bracket resolves "Yes".
- The observation period is the UTC calendar day: 00:00 UTC to 23:59 UTC on September 25, 2026.
- An earthquake is assigned to the day containing its origin time.
- Magnitude refers to the USGS preferred magnitude value, listed under 'Magnitude' in the format column.