KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
At least 2 94%+16.0ptIn testa tra 3 esiti
Qualità del mercato
39 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
591,3 €
Liquidità
3,6K €
Liquidità mediaSpread
13.0 pt
Spread ampioDati di mercato
Aggiornato 3 minuti fa
2 giu 26, 14:00 UTC29 giu 27, 15:00 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?
PolymarketWill there be a volcano eruption with VEI >= 4 by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsHow many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?
PolymarketVesuvius eruption with 1+ VEI in 2026?
PolymarketWill any Manifold user be killed in a volcanic eruption before 2050?
Manifold MarketsMount Spurr significant eruption by date?
Manifold MarketsRegole
If the number of VEI4 volcanic eruptions worldwide with a GVP-attributed start in 2026 is the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:Smithsonian Institution Global Volcanism Program
Mercati aperti
WeatherPOLYMARKETHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 9?
- 32°C+90.5pt100%
- 25°C or below-0.1pt0%
- 26°C0%
+8 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 141,1K €
- Volume 24h
- 129,1K €
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Munich on September 9?
- 22°C+77.4pt100%
- 17°C or below-1.1pt0%
- 18°C-4.0pt0%
+8 altri esiti
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Chengdu on September 9?
- 27°C+68.5pt100%
- 21°C or below-0.3pt0%
- 22°C-0.9pt0%
+8 altri esiti
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 9, 2026?
- 93° or above87.6%
- 91° to 92°7.6%
- 89° to 90°1.9%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 72,2K €
- Volume 24h
- 71,8K €
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 9, 2026?
- Miami+44.0pt99%
- Chicago+13.0pt99%
- Houston64%
+19 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 71,6K €
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Shanghai on September 9?
- 28°C+47.0pt100%
- 24°C or below0%
- 25°C-0.1pt0%
+8 altri esiti
- Highest temperature in Tokyo on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Beijing on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Milan on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Chongqing on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Shenzhen on September 9?
- Highest temperature in London on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Taipei on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Guangzhou on September 9?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Major volcano eruption in 2026??
- Kalshi quota At least 2 al 94% al 9 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Major volcano eruption in 2026??
- Major volcano eruption in 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 29 giugno 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Major volcano eruption in 2026??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If the number of VEI4 volcanic eruptions worldwide with a GVP-attributed start in 2026 is the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.