KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
South Sudan 52%-1.0ptIn testa tra 16 esiti
Qualità del mercato
64 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
165,6 €
Liquidità
113,7K €
Alta liquiditàSpread
2.0 pt
Spread strettoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 10 minuti fa
16 mag 26, 21:00 UTC1 gen 27, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Which countries will report an Ebola disease case before October?
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Manifold MarketsEbola pandemic in 2026?
KalshiEbola pandemic in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegole
If a confirmed human case of Ebola disease in the named outcome is officially reported after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Only confirmed cases qualify; suspected, probable, or presumptive cases do not.
- Animal cases do not qualify.
- The case must be confirmed in the named outcome — a citizen of the named outcome diagnosed elsewhere does not count.
- Imported cases diagnosed within the named outcome do count.
- Resolution is based on the date of official confirmation, not symptom onset.
Confronto tra fonti di previsione
Mercati aperti
Health & MedicinePOLYMARKETHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
- No-0.2pt97%
- Yes+0.2pt3%
- Volume totale
- 15,6 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 30,4K €
POLYMARKETEbola pandemic in 2026?
- No-0.1pt97%
- Yes+0.1pt3%
- Volume totale
- 652,8K €
- Volume 24h
- 3,5K €
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No97%
- Yes-0.7pt3%
- Volume totale
- 1,6 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 2,9K €
KALSHIMeasles cases in 2026?
- Above 300099%
- Above 4000+1.0pt97%
- Above 600059%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 865,3K €
- Volume 24h
- 2,7K €
POLYMARKETNew pandemic in 2026?
- No+1.0pt94.1%
- Yes-1.0pt5.9%
- Volume totale
- 915,3K €
- Volume 24h
- 1,4K €
POLYMARKETFDA approves skin cancer vaccine by which date?
- December 31,+1.0pt65%
- September41%
- June28%
- Volume totale
- 84K €
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- FDA decision: Ifinatamab Deruxtecan by Daiichi Sankyo (in 2026)
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026??
- Kalshi quota South Sudan al 52% al 9 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026??
- Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If a confirmed human case of Ebola disease in the named outcome is officially reported after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Dove altro è quotato Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026??
- La stessa domanda è quotata anche su Polymarket.