KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
No 62%
Qualità del mercato
≤49 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
12,1K €
Liquidità mediaBid / Ask
37.0% / 38.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Spread strettoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 3 minuti fa
24 mag 25, 14:00 UTC1 gen 30, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?
KalshiWill there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in California before 2035?
KalshiWill there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in California before 2028?
KalshiMagnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?
PolymarketWhat will be the highest magnitude of an earthquake near the Phlegraean Fields in italy (Campi Flegrei) in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhere will the largest magnitude Earthquake be in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegole
If there is at least an earthquake of 8.0 magnitude with an epicenter in Japan or its territorial waters before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:USGS
Mercati aperti
WeatherKALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 22, 2026?
- Newark+59.0pt99%
- Oklahoma City+95.0pt99%
- Philadelphia+11.0pt99%
+24 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 180,5K €
- Volume 24h
- 176,4K €
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 22, 2026?
- 77° to 78°56.7%
- 75° to 76°20.2%
- 79° to 80°19.2%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 52,4K €
- Volume 24h
- 50,9K €
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Wellington on September 23?
- 10°C+24.0pt38.8%
- 11°C-20.5pt36.7%
- 9°C+14.5pt17.4%
+8 altri esiti
POLYMARKETMeasles cases in U.S. in 2026?
+12 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 34,8K €
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 22, 2026?
- 65° to 66°45.5%
- 63° to 64°22.3%
- 67° to 68°21.4%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 35,3K €
- Volume 24h
- 32,7K €
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Shanghai on September 23?
- 29°C+10.5pt49%
- 28°C-7.0pt41.4%
- 27°C-1.0pt5.8%
+8 altri esiti
- Highest temperature in London on September 23?
- Highest temperature in Miami on Sep 22, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Austin on Sep 22, 2026?
- What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic this year?
- Highest temperature in Tokyo on September 23?
- Highest temperature in Paris on September 23?
- Highest temperature in Helsinki on September 23?
- Highest temperature in Atlanta on Sep 22, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Shenzhen on September 23?
- Highest temperature in Munich on September 23?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per 8.0 magnitude earthquake in Japan before 2030??
- Kalshi quota No al 62% al 22 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve 8.0 magnitude earthquake in Japan before 2030??
- 8.0 magnitude earthquake in Japan before 2030? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2030.
- Come viene liquidato 8.0 magnitude earthquake in Japan before 2030??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If there is at least an earthquake of 8.0 magnitude with an epicenter in Japan or its territorial waters before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.