PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPunto medio del book selezionato
No · —
Caricamento del book selezionato…
—
Riferimento salvato
No 96%
No 96%Qualità del mercato
≤49 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
419,5 €
Bassa liquiditàOpen interest
1,6K USD
Bid / Ask
— / —
NoSpread
—
Commenti
2
Variazione 7g
-1.1 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 15 minuti fa
24 lug 26, 18:34 UTC31 dic 26, 16:59 UTC
Il grafico e le variazioni mostrano probabilità storiche salvate, non il book selezionato in tempo reale.
Trend
Riga selezionata: punto medio del book. Altre righe: riferimenti salvati, eventualmente normalizzati; le variazioni a 24h usano lo storico salvato.
Condizioni della piattaforma
Fonte: Polymarket
Queste condizioni sono informative; il trading simulato di CoinRithm segue regole proprie.
- Ordine minimo (quote):
- 5
- Incremento di prezzo:
- 0,1 punti percentuali
- Commissioni:
- Sì
Principali detentori
Caricamento dei principali detentori
Profondità di mercato · No
Caricamento del book selezionato…
—
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?
KalshiWhere will a 6.0+ magnitude earthquake occur by end of October?
PolymarketMagnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?
PolymarketWill there be a 6.7 or greater magnitude earthquake in San Francisco in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhere will the largest magnitude Earthquake be in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhat will be the highest magnitude of an earthquake near the Phlegraean Fields in italy (Campi Flegrei) in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegole
This market will resolve "Yes" if the United States Geological Survey (USGS) (https://www.usgs.gov/programs/earthquake-hazards/lists-maps-and-statistics) reports at least one earthquake of moment magnitude (Mw) 7.0 or greater with an epicenter located within the state of California by December 31, 2026 at 11:59:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
- The state of California includes the entirety of California as recognized under U.S. law including offshore areas within California's territorial boundaries.
- Earthquakes occurring on the California border must have their USGS-listed epicenter coordinates fall within California's boundaries.
- Any individual event meeting the magnitude and location criteria resolves the market "Yes", regardless of whether it is classified as a mainshock, aftershock, or foreshock.
- Resolution will be based on the USGS's final reviewed magnitude, not preliminary estimates, regardless of when that review is published, but the qualifying earthquake needs to have occurred within California by December 31, 2026 at 11:59:59 PM ET.