Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualePhilippines 32%In testa tra 22 esiti
Previsori
32
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
-48.6 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 2 ore fa
Obsoleto6 gen 26, 22:00 UTC12 gen 27, 22:00 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?
KalshiWill there be a 6.7 or greater magnitude earthquake in San Francisco in 2026?
Manifold MarketsMagnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?
PolymarketWhat will be the highest magnitude of an earthquake near the Phlegraean Fields in italy (Campi Flegrei) in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill California experience a 7.0 or above magnitude earthquake in 2026?
PolymarketWill there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in California before 2028?
KalshiRegole
Last year: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_earthquakes_in_2023
- This year: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_earthquakes_in_2024
- If two places tie they both resolve
Mercati aperti
WeatherKALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 88° to 89°+9.0pt37%
- 90° or above+11.0pt28%
- 86° to 87°-12.0pt25%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 232,5K €
- Volume 24h
- 227,3K €
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- Minneapolis+6.0pt99%
- Houston+41.0pt71%
- Miami-6.0pt69%
+19 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 186,1K €
KALSHIHighest temperature in Miami on Sep 8, 2026?
- 92° to 93°+36.0pt81.7%
- 90° to 91°-29.0pt7.7%
- 94° or above+3.0pt7.7%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 8, 2026?
- 80° to 81°+25.0pt68.2%
- 82° to 83°-12.0pt24.3%
- 79° or below-3.0pt4.7%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Chengdu on September 9?
- 27°C+60.0pt93.9%
- 28°C-13.5pt6.1%
- 21°C or below-1.4pt0%
+8 altri esiti
KALSHIWill a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii in 2026?
- No89%
- Yes-4.0pt11%
- Volume totale
- 66,7K €
- Volume 24h
- 28,6K €
- Highest temperature in Chicago on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Munich on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Austin on Sep 8, 2026?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Highest temperature in Minneapolis on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Tokyo on September 9?
- Highest temperature in San Francisco on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Philadelphia on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Dallas on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Houston on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Boston on Sep 8, 2026?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Where will the largest magnitude Earthquake be in 2026??
- Manifold Markets quota Philippines al 32% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Where will the largest magnitude Earthquake be in 2026??
- Where will the largest magnitude Earthquake be in 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 12 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Where will the largest magnitude Earthquake be in 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Last year: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_earthquakes_in_2023