KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
No 66%
Qualità del mercato
≤49 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
5,7K €
Liquidità mediaBid / Ask
29.0% / 34.0%
Spread
5.0 pt
Spread ampioDati di mercato
Aggiornato 6 minuti fa
27 giu 25, 20:45 UTC1 gen 50, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Which is first: Crewed Starships to Mars, or California high speed rail?
Manifold MarketsWill Canada have high-speed rail by 2035?
Manifold MarketsWill California start laying high-speed rail track in 2026?
KalshiWhich is first: Moonbase, or California high speed rail?
Manifold MarketsWhere will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
PolymarketWill 2026 be the hottest year ever?
KalshiRegole
If a human lands on Mars before California starts its high speed rail service for the public before Jan 1, 2050, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:NASAESASpaceXBlue Originthe Chinese National Space AdministrationRoscosmosthe California High-Speed Rail Authoritythe Federal Railroad Administrationthe California Department of TransportationThe New York Timesthe Associated PressBloomberg NewsReutersAxiosPoliticoThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalABCCBSCNNFox NewsMSNBCNBC
Mercati aperti
SpacePOLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+1.0pt89%
- OpenAI-2.2pt9%
- Google2%
+18 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 2,3 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 103,1K €
LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- No56.5%
- Yes43.5%
- Volume totale
- 57,4K €
- Volume 24h
- 57,4K €
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+0.5pt58.8%
- SpaceX-3.5pt39.2%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2.1%
+9 altri esiti
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028-2.0pt63%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-1.0pt51%
- Before May 1, 2027-1.0pt49%
+8 altri esiti
KALSHIHow many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- Above 8-6.0pt84%
- Above 9-21.0pt52%
- Above 10-4.0pt18%
+8 altri esiti
- Volume totale
POLYMARKETWill the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by which date?
- 202767%
- June 30, 202753%
- 2026+1.3pt6%
- Volume totale
- 817,9K €
- Which company has the best AI model end of October?
- Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?
- Third-best AI Lab end of September?
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
- Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed before 2027?
- Third-best AI Lab end of October?
- Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On)
- AI data center in space by which date?
- Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will a human land on Mars before California starts high-speed rail??
- Kalshi quota No al 66% al 9 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will a human land on Mars before California starts high-speed rail??
- Will a human land on Mars before California starts high-speed rail? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2050.
- Come viene liquidato Will a human land on Mars before California starts high-speed rail??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If a human lands on Mars before California starts its high speed rail service for the public before Jan 1, 2050, then the market resolves to Yes.