KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
No 90%
Qualità del mercato
69 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
63,8 €
Liquidità
34,5K €
Alta liquiditàBid / Ask
10.0% / 11.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Spread strettoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 8 minuti fa
28 ago 25, 20:45 UTC1 ago 99, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Year of Elon Musk's next visit to Russia
Manifold MarketsWill Elon Musk visit a country in the Middle East in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Elon Musk ever be President of the United States during his lifetime?
Manifold MarketsElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
PolymarketElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
PolymarketElon Musk # tweets September 8 - September 15, 2026?
PolymarketRegole
If Elon Musk visits Mars before the earlier of his death or Aug 1, 2099, then the market resolves to Yes.
Mercati aperti
SpacePOLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+0.5pt89.9%
- OpenAI-1.6pt8.1%
- Google-0.1pt2%
+18 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 2,4 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 131,5K €
LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- No60.4%
- Yes39.6%
- Volume totale
- 103,6K €
- Volume 24h
- 27,9K €
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
- Anthropic-1.5pt72.5%
- OpenAI+2.0pt18.6%
- Google-1.4pt5.9%
+18 altri esiti
KALSHIHow many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- Above 8-8.0pt82%
- Above 9-49.0pt22%
- Above 10-20.0pt14%
+8 altri esiti
- Volume totale
POLYMARKETTesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
- December 31,47%
- June 30,41%
- February 28,27%
+4 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 996,1K €
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+0.3pt59.6%
- SpaceX+0.5pt38.4%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2%
+9 altri esiti
- AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?
- When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed before 2027?
- Third-best AI Lab end of September?
- Third-best AI Lab end of October?
- Pro Football Championship Halftime Show: Performers
- SpaceX Starship 14th launch?
- Two SpaceX Starships dock together by which date?
- What will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit in September 2026?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Elon Musk visit Mars in his lifetime??
- Kalshi quota No al 90% al 9 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Elon Musk visit Mars in his lifetime??
- Will Elon Musk visit Mars in his lifetime? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 agosto 2099.
- Come viene liquidato Will Elon Musk visit Mars in his lifetime??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If Elon Musk visits Mars before the earlier of his death or Aug 1, 2099, then the market resolves to Yes.