Will Trump announce a new tariff/immigration policy by end of September 2026?”
Trade PolicyOne-OffPoliticaUS PoliticsElezione21gManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 99%
Previsori
15
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 1 ora fa
In ritardo10 lug 26, 05:48 UTC30 set 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Asset Sensibili al Macro
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Which sectors will Trump tariff in 2026?
KalshiWhat will be true about Trump's tariff dividend? ("stimulus check")
Manifold MarketsWill Trump tariff Canada 100%
Manifold MarketsWill Trump formalize a 100% tariff on generic drugs before the midterms?
KalshiUS effective tariff rate for Q3 2026
KalshiTrump cut a check as tariff rebate before midterms?
Manifold MarketsRegole
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if, between July 10, 2026, and September 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM Eastern Time (ET), President Donald J. Trump or the White House officially announces a new policy, executive action, presidential memorandum, proclamation, or legislative proposal concerning U.S. tariffs or immigration.
- Otherwise, this market resolves to NO.
- Definition of "New": The announcement must introduce a policy, tariff rate, target category, border enforcement directive, or visa rule that is distinct from policies officially active or announced prior to July 10, 2026.
- Expanding, replacing, or substantively modifying an existing program counts as a new policy; merely executing or re-stating an established schedule from a prior order does not.
- Definition of "Announce": The policy must be officially communicated directly by President Trump (e.g., via his official Truth Social account, a live public address, or an official press conference) or formally issued via the White House Briefing Room or the Federal Register.
Mercati aperti
Trade Policy
POLYMARKETUS-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by which date?
- December 31+8.0pt55.2%
- October 31+7.0pt32%
- September 30+2.0pt12.8%
+1 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 113,6K €
- Volume 24h
- 9,4K €
POLYMARKETIran charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- December 31+0.5pt28%
- October 31+0.5pt13%
- September 30-0.5pt6%
+3 altri esiti
KALSHIWill Trump order more tariffs in Sep 2026?
- Yes+18.0pt93%
- No7%
- Volume totale
- 6,1K €
- Volume 24h
- 4,3K €
KALSHIWhat will Karoline Leavitt say during RNC Midterm Convention?
- Trump (3+ times)91%
- Republican80%
- Inflation59%
+15 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,1K €
- Volume 24h
- 1,1K €
KALSHIHow much will the US acquire Greenland for?
- $0 / No Acquisition+1.0pt83.3%
- $10 billion to $99 billion4.9%
- $300 billion to $599 billion3.9%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,4 Mln €
POLYMARKETTrump meets with Mark Carney by which date?
- October 31+2.0pt56%
- September 30-14.0pt9%
- September 15-0.1pt1%
+1 altri esiti
- Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (9/7 - 9/13)
- Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks?
- Will the U.S. enact a free trade agreement?
- Which USMCA outcomes will occur in 2026?
- US x China tariff agreement by December 31?
- Canada cuts off or throttles electricity to the US by December 31?
- When will the US and China reach a tariff agreement?
- Trump issues Iran Sanctions Executive Order by which date?
- US charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- Will Apple purchase CXMT memory chips in 2026?
Cripto correlate
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Trump announce a new tariff/immigration policy by end of September 2026?”?
- Manifold Markets quota Yes al 99% al 9 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Trump announce a new tariff/immigration policy by end of September 2026?”?
- Will Trump announce a new tariff/immigration policy by end of September 2026?” dovrebbe risolversi il 30 settembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Will Trump announce a new tariff/immigration policy by end of September 2026?”?
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolution criteria