KalshiChiusoVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiestoDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoQuesto mercato si è risolto: Before Oct 1, 2026 (86%)
Risolto: 24 set 2026, 19:34
Risoluzione verificata dal provider
CoinRithm dispone di prove del provider sul vincitore e sul momento di regolamento di questo mercato.
Avviso sulla qualità dei datiDati obsoleti
Dati al 24 set 2026, 18:57 UTC · criterio pm-quality-3
Cronologia delle Probabilità
Before Oct 1, 202686%
Before Nov 1, 202649%
Before Dec 1, 2026Persa
Before Jan 1, 2027Persa
Before Nov 1, 2026Persa
Before Oct 1, 2026Vinta
Before Sep 1, 2026Persa
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
By 2027, will there be a US-China bilateral AI agreement, negotiated partly by an AI mediator?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump formalize a 100% tariff on generic drugs before the midterms?
KalshiUS effective tariff rate for Q3 2026
KalshiTrump cut a check as tariff rebate before midterms?
Manifold MarketsWill the U.S. formally eliminate the tariff on Irish whiskey by October 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsUS x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026?
PolymarketAsset Sensibili al Macro
Regole
Regole archiviate a livello di evento. I termini esatti di ciascun esito non sono più disponibili.
If the United States and China reach a new mutual tariff agreement, publicly announced or confirmed by both governments after Issuance and the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:The Washington PostFox NewsThe Wall Street JournalThe GuardianABCBloomberg NewsCBSSouth China Morning PostNBCthe Associated PressThe VergeBBCAxiosCNNABC News AustraliaThe InformationSemaforMSNBCCBCReutersPoliticoThe New York Times
- An extension, modification, or replacement of the tariff truce in effect at Issuance qualifies as a new mutual tariff agreement.
- A qualifying agreement must address tariff rates or tariff suspensions; agreements limited to other trade matters do not count.
- Unilateral tariff actions do not count, even if the other side declines to respond.
- Reports that negotiations are ongoing, near completion, or agreed in principle by only one side do not count.
- An agreement qualifies once reached and confirmed by both governments, regardless of when it takes effect.