Will Trump formalize a 100% tariff on generic drugs before the midterms?
Trade PolicyOne-OffPoliticaUS PoliticsElezione1m
KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
No 72%
Qualità del mercato
44 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
749,9 €
Bassa liquiditàBid / Ask
23.0% / 29.0%
Spread
6.0 pt
Spread ampioDati di mercato
Aggiornato 11 minuti fa
28 lug 26, 15:45 UTC3 nov 26, 04:59 UTC
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KalshiRegole
If Donald Trump has taken any executive action establishing a tariff of 100% or greater specifically on imported generic pharmaceutical products before Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The action must specify an effective date, but it does not need to be before Nov 3, 2026.
- Exemptions or reduced rates for particular products, companies, or countries do not prevent qualification.
- The qualifying action must be of the specific type designated (executive order, presidential memorandum, proclamation, directive, determination, or finding), be signed by the President personally during the specified time period, and explicitly address the topic in the document's operative provisions, title, or official White House summary.
- Actions must have legal or policy effect - ceremonial proclamations without policy impact do not qualify unless specifically included.
- Actions that only incidentally mention the topic, statements without formal action, actions by cabinet members, legislative proposals without executive action, and signing statements do not qualify.
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Trump formalize a 100% tariff on generic drugs before the midterms??
- Kalshi quota No al 72% al 20 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Trump formalize a 100% tariff on generic drugs before the midterms??
- Will Trump formalize a 100% tariff on generic drugs before the midterms? dovrebbe risolversi il 3 novembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Will Trump formalize a 100% tariff on generic drugs before the midterms??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If Donald Trump has taken any executive action establishing a tariff of 100% or greater specifically on imported generic pharmaceutical products before Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.