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  1. Mercati Predittivi
  2. Trade Policy
  3. US x China tariff agreement by December 31?
US x China tariff agreement by December 31?

US x China tariff agreement by December 31?

One-OffTrade PolicyChina6m
PolymarketPolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissione
Probabilità implicita attuale
Sì
Sì 75%
Qualita del mercato

68 / 100

Qualità media
Volume 24h

247 €

Liquidità

12K €

Liquidità media
Bid / Ask

73.0% / 77.0%

Spread

5.5%

Spread moderato
Variazione 7g

+4.0%

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 4 minuti fa

29 mag 26, 13:2231 dic 26, 0:00

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Esito scelto

Yes75%

Regole

This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
  • Informal and unilateral announcements that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
  • The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
  • Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.

Asset Sensibili al Macro

BitcoinBTC$62,632.64+2.54%EthereumETH$1,651.33+2.14%SolanaSOL$65.09+1.78%

Mercati Correlati

US x China tariff agreement by June 30?

US x China tariff agreement by June 30?

477,7 €
Sì: 5%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?

Tariff increase on Canada in effect by June 30?

177,9 €
Sì: 5%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
What will the US tariff rate on China be on July 1?

What will the US tariff rate on China be on July 1?

0,1 €
Between 10% and 19.99%: 81%KalshiKALSHI
What will the US tariff rate on the EU be on July 1?

What will the US tariff rate on the EU be on July 1?

0 €
Between 10% and 19.99%: 80%KalshiKALSHI
Will Trump make a new free trade agreement with China?

Will Trump make a new free trade agreement with China?

0 €
Sì: 34%KalshiKALSHI
100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?

100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?

891,5 €
Sì: 1%PolymarketPOLYMARKET

Attivi in questi argomenti

DogecoinDOGE$0.085+2.01%XRPXRP$1.12+0.55%BNBBNB$594.43+1.80%CardanoADA$0.1664+3.72%HyperliquidHYPE$54.74-0.74%LitecoinLTC$42.68+0.89%

Notizie Correlate

Chinese Man Gets 10+ Years for Stealing 107 BTC Using Memorized KeyBlockchain.NewsPentagon adds Alibaba, Baidu and BYD to China’s military-linked list Crypto NewsNvidia’s CEO declines Senate testimony on China’s AI chip businessCrypto NewsChina warns developers over overseas AI relay servicesCrypto NewsChina court treats Bitcoin as property in 107 BTC theft caseCrypto NewsChinese court treats Bitcoin as property in 107 BTC memory theft caseCointelegraph

Regole

This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
  • Informal and unilateral announcements that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
  • The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
  • Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.