Will Trump announce a new trade deal in Sep 2026?
RegolamentazioneOne-OffTrade PolicyPoliticaUS PoliticsElezione22g
KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Sì 89%
Qualità del mercato
32 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
86 €
Bassa liquiditàBid / Ask
84.0% / 94.0%
Spread
10.0 pt
Spread ampioDati di mercato
Aggiornato 4 minuti fa
1 set 26, 14:00 UTC1 ott 26, 03:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
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PolymarketRegole
If the President announces a new trade deal before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:New York TimesBloombergthe White Housethe Office of the United States Trade RepresentativeReutersAssociated Pressthe President of the United States
- For the purposes of this Contract, an announcement must satisfy ALL of the following criteria:
- Made through official channels including White House press conferences, official White House statements, presidential speeches, official presidential social media accounts, or official presidential appearances Explicitly describes the arrangement as a "trade deal," "trade agreement," "trade memorandum," "trade pact," or uses substantially similar language indicating a formal trade arrangement Involves at least one foreign country, territory, or international trade bloc
- Preliminary agreements, frameworks, or agreements in principle do count as long as they are presented as a new trade-related agreement.
- It also includes modifications or re-negotiated versions of previous agreements.
- New arrangements include, but are not limited to:
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Trump announce a new trade deal in Sep 2026??
- Kalshi quota Yes al 89% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Trump announce a new trade deal in Sep 2026??
- Will Trump announce a new trade deal in Sep 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 ottobre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Will Trump announce a new trade deal in Sep 2026??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If the President announces a new trade deal before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.