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US Trade Deficit in 2026?

One-OffTrade Policy8m

PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissione

Probabilità implicita attuale

800–900B 39%+0.5%

In testa tra 8 esiti

Qualita del mercato

40 / 100

Bassa qualità

Volume 24h

0 €

Liquidità

21K €

Liquidità media

Bid / Ask

3.0% / 6.0%

Spread

100.0%

Spread ampio

Variazione 7g

-0.5%

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 1 minuto fa

26 feb 26, 0:3228 feb 27, 0:00

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Esito scelto

800–900B39%

Puntata (USDT)

Disponibile anche su Kalshi

US trade deficit for 2026?

Below 45‎ billion

45‎ billion to 54.9‎ billion

55‎ billion to 64.9‎ billion

+9 altri esiti

28 • Bassa qualitàSpread sconosciutoBassa liquiditàMercato poco profondo

Volume totale100,5 €

Volume 24h0 €

KALSHI

Regole

This market will resolve according to the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026, as reported by the US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) and the US Census Bureau (USCB) in the “U.S.

International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026, expected to be released in February 2027.
Upon publication, the specified release will be made available at: https://www.bea.gov/news/current-releases
The relevant figure may be found in the annual summary under “Exports, Imports, and Balance (exhibit 1)”.
Changes in the BEA or USCB’s reporting format will not disqualify a relevant published figure from counting.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

I dati di confronto sono solo informativi. I prezzi e la liquidità possono variare.

Mercati Correlati

100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?

891,7 €

Sì: 1%

POLYMARKET

US x Cuba economic deal by...?

777,1 €

June 30: 9%

POLYMARKET

US x China tariff agreement by June 30?

477,8 €

Sì: 5%

POLYMARKET

Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks?

47,6 €

Before 2027: 10%

KALSHI

How much will the US acquire Greenland for?

5,8 €

$0 / No Acquisition: 81%

KALSHI

Attivi in questi argomenti

BitcoinBTC$62,685.50+1.86%

EthereumETH$1,654.27+1.27%

SolanaSOL$65.03+1.10%

DogecoinDOGE$0.0847+1.07%

XRPXRP$1.11+0.03%

BNBBNB$596.29+1.58%

Regole

This market will resolve according to the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026, as reported by the US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) and the US Census Bureau (USCB) in the “U.S.

International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026, expected to be released in February 2027.
Upon publication, the specified release will be made available at: https://www.bea.gov/news/current-releases
The relevant figure may be found in the annual summary under “Exports, Imports, and Balance (exhibit 1)”.
Changes in the BEA or USCB’s reporting format will not disqualify a relevant published figure from counting.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

US Trade Deficit in 2026?

One-OffTrade Policy8m

PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissione

Probabilità implicita attuale

800–900B 39%+0.5%

In testa tra 8 esiti

Qualita del mercato

40 / 100

Bassa qualità

Volume 24h

0 €

Liquidità

21K €

Liquidità media

Bid / Ask

3.0% / 6.0%

Spread

100.0%

Spread ampio

Variazione 7g

-0.5%

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 1 minuto fa

26 feb 26, 0:3228 feb 27, 0:00

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Esito scelto

800–900B39%

Puntata (USDT)

Disponibile anche su Kalshi

US trade deficit for 2026?

Below 45‎ billion

45‎ billion to 54.9‎ billion

55‎ billion to 64.9‎ billion

+9 altri esiti

28 • Bassa qualitàSpread sconosciutoBassa liquiditàMercato poco profondo

Volume totale100,5 €

Volume 24h0 €

KALSHI

Regole

This market will resolve according to the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026, as reported by the US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) and the US Census Bureau (USCB) in the “U.S.

International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026, expected to be released in February 2027.
Upon publication, the specified release will be made available at: https://www.bea.gov/news/current-releases
The relevant figure may be found in the annual summary under “Exports, Imports, and Balance (exhibit 1)”.
Changes in the BEA or USCB’s reporting format will not disqualify a relevant published figure from counting.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

I dati di confronto sono solo informativi. I prezzi e la liquidità possono variare.

Mercati Correlati

100% tariff on Canada in effect by June 30?

891,7 €

Sì: 1%

POLYMARKET

US x Cuba economic deal by...?

777,1 €

June 30: 9%

POLYMARKET

US x China tariff agreement by June 30?

477,8 €

Sì: 5%

POLYMARKET

Will Americans receive tariff stimulus checks?

47,6 €

Before 2027: 10%

KALSHI

How much will the US acquire Greenland for?

5,8 €

$0 / No Acquisition: 81%

KALSHI

Attivi in questi argomenti

BitcoinBTC$62,685.50+1.86%

EthereumETH$1,654.27+1.27%

SolanaSOL$65.03+1.10%

DogecoinDOGE$0.0847+1.07%

XRPXRP$1.11+0.03%

BNBBNB$596.29+1.58%

Regole

This market will resolve according to the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026, as reported by the US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) and the US Census Bureau (USCB) in the “U.S.

International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026, expected to be released in February 2027.
Upon publication, the specified release will be made available at: https://www.bea.gov/news/current-releases
The relevant figure may be found in the annual summary under “Exports, Imports, and Balance (exhibit 1)”.
Changes in the BEA or USCB’s reporting format will not disqualify a relevant published figure from counting.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.