US effective tariff rate for Q2 2026?
9.0% (24h)FedQuarterlyTrade PolicyUS PoliticsGeopoliticaCentral Banks4g
PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale5%+ 96%+1.0%In testa tra 6 esiti
Qualita del mercato
52 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
726,9 €
Liquidità
5,2K €
Liquidità mediaBid / Ask
68.0% / 74.0%
Spread
8.8%
Spread ampioDati di mercato
Aggiornato 5 minuti fa
23 lug 26, 22:0530 lug 26, 23:59
Trend
Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria
Esito scelto
5%+96%
Confronta le piattaforme· 5%+
Ordinato per qualità del mercato, poi liquidità e volume 24h| Piattaforma | Qualità | Probabilità | vs riferimento | Volume 24h | Liquidità | Aggiornamento | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketQuesta paginaMigliore in assoluto | Media | 96% | — | 726,9 € | 5,2K € | 5 minuti fa | |
 Kalshi90% di corrispondenza · auto | Bassa | 92% | — | 18,5 € | 7,8K € | 25 minuti fa | Apri → |
Disponibile anche su Kalshi
US effective tariff rate for Q2 2026
1.0%4g
92%
+1.0%71%
14%
+2 altri esiti
44 • Bassa qualitàSpread ampioLiquidità mediaVicino alla risoluzione
Volume totale22,2K €
Volume 24h18,5 €
KALSHIRegole
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the total US effective tariff rate for Q2 of 2026 is at least equal to or higher than the listed figure.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- The total effective tariff rate will be the number reported by the Federal Reserve Bank of St.
- Louis in the chart titled: "Federal government current tax receipts: Taxes on production and imports: Customs duties/Current payments to the rest of the world: Imports of goods*100" for Q2 of 2026.
- This data can be found here: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/graph/?g=1wn5e.
- In the event that this data is not published by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "No".
I dati di confronto sono solo informativi. I prezzi e la liquidità possono variare.
Trend del volume
$82723 lug4g di dati26 lug
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the total US effective tariff rate for Q2 of 2026 is at least equal to or higher than the listed figure.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- The total effective tariff rate will be the number reported by the Federal Reserve Bank of St.
- Louis in the chart titled: "Federal government current tax receipts: Taxes on production and imports: Customs duties/Current payments to the rest of the world: Imports of goods*100" for Q2 of 2026.
- This data can be found here: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/graph/?g=1wn5e.
- In the event that this data is not published by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "No".